IN THIS LIST

TalkingPoints: S&P GSCI Electric Vehicle Metals - Commodities Go Electric

Examining the Growth of Decrement Indices

Collaborating Efficiently in the Rise of Remote Work

Gauging Opportunities from the Hydrogen Economy

FAQ: S&P Carbon Control Indices

TalkingPoints: S&P GSCI Electric Vehicle Metals - Commodities Go Electric

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Fiona Boal

Managing Director, Global Head of Equities

S&P Dow Jones Indices

As the world has begun to focus on new technology to aid in the global energy transition, electric vehicles are becoming more a part of everyday life. S&P Dow Jones Indices (S&P DJI) partnered with S&P Global Commodity Insights (S&P GCI) to launch the S&P GSCI Electric Vehicle Metals, which seeks to track commodities used in the production of electric vehicles.

  1. What drove the creation of this index?
    The index was created in response to client demand for investable thematic strategies that offer exposure to the global energy transition. The energy transition represents both a significant challenge and opportunity to financial market participants, and nowhere is that dichotomy more obvious than in commodities markets.

    Historically, technology has often worked against commodities, either by encouraging substitution or improving productivity, and thereby requiring less of a certain raw material to meet demand. But in the case of decarbonization, the opposite is true—the adoption of green technologies signals strong demand for many commodities, particularly metals. The switch from internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles to electric vehicles (EV) is one of the most visible and fastest-moving decarbonization themes. The S&P GSCI Electric Vehicle Metals is designed to allow market participants to measure the performance of the metal components of an EV.

  2. Why launch this index now?
    EVs have gone mainstream, this is no longer an infant industry and market participants are looking for ways to track EV market performance, evaluate EV investment and develop EV investment strategies. Replicating the tradeable metal components of an EV on a production-weighted basis in an index is an innovative way to meet this investor demand. SPGCI forecasts that plug-in EVs on the roads could displace over 5 million barrels per day of gasoline and diesel consumption globally by 2040. However, demand for metals
    used in EVs is expected to increase over the same period, especially copper and lithium, which should experience a near 600% increase in demand.

    Coinciding with the growth in EV production has been the development of new commodities futures markets for EV battery metals such as cobalt and lithium. Liquid futures markets are an essential component of the price discovery mechanism in commodities markets and expand the accessible ecosystem for market participants. Liquid futures markets also make it possible to create an index that seeks to reflect all of the major metal components of an EV.

  3. How does the index work?
    The S&P GSCI Electric Vehicle Metals is a commodities futures-based index that is designed to reflect the performance of the tradeable metals used in the production of an EV. The expertise of SPGCI is leveraged for data to help determine the index constituents and production weights to ensure the index broadly reflects the relative metal usage in a representative EV. An important characteristic of the index is the flexibility to reweight, add or remove constituents at regular intervals to ensure that it can adapt to changes in EV technology and the launch and adoption of new metals futures contracts.

    Constituents in the index are weighted based on their current metal usage in an average EV multiplied by the average per unit price for the metal, thereby representing the relative cost (or value) of the metal components in an EV. Battery metal constituents, as defined by SPGCI but including cobalt and lithium, are capped based on contract trading volume and liquidity requirements to ensure that the index is both replicable and investable.

  4. What target audience would most benefit from using this index?
    We believe the index could have a wide application across the financial market. It was designed to be used as a benchmark to track the price performance of the major metals essential to the production of EVs and as the basis of financial products such as exchange-traded products. It may appeal to those market participants already active in commodities markets but may also be of interest to investors who have not traditionally held exposure in commodities markets but are interested in strategies that match their interest in the energy  transition.

  5. What is SPGCI's role in the index?
    As an expert in the field of energy transition, battery metals and EVs and with extensive experience undertaking commodity market assessments, SPGCI is well placed to contribute as a source of information for use in the index. SPGCI will publish the metal usage in a typical EV on a biannual basis. This usage data will be an input into the calculation to determine the individual index constituent weights in the index. SPGCI publishes EV metals components and the corresponding production weights of those components in kilograms. Ahead of publication, SPGCI engages with a range of market participants and industry bodies and may also reference research reports and other relevant resources.

    SPGCI's biannual update on the metal usage in a representative EV may include new commodities, thereby allowing that as EV technology changes, the index has the flexibility for new constituents to reflect those changes. SPGCI will monitor key components of an EV, including changing and evolving battery chemistries, which may result in the inclusion of new index constituents to those in the initial basket.

  6. What do you see are the key benefits of this index given its construction?
    An important characteristic of the S&P GSCI Electric Vehicle Metals is the flexibility to reweight and add or remove constituents at regular intervals to ensure that the index can adapt to changes in EV technology and the launch and adoption of new metals futures contracts.

    Another important characteristic of the index is that it is based on commodities futures, not equities. The presence of equity market beta in thematic indices can make it difficult for these indices to truly reflect the performance of a particular theme or component of the real economy. It may not be possible to know which companies will win the battle for EV supremacy, but measuring the supply and demand dynamics and price performance of the underlying physical components that will be needed to build out the EV fleet is relatively straightforward.

  7.  What is unique about the S&P DJI and SPGCI collaboration?
    S&P DJI is the world's leading resource for benchmarks and investable indices, and our indices are widely used to track market performance, benchmark portfolios and develop investment strategies. Our series of commodities indices, headlined by the S&P GSCI, offer market participants straightforward measures of commodity beta, commodity sectors, single commodities and commodity thematics.

    SPGCI is a leading voice in the commodities market. Each day, SPGCI publishes news, commentary, fundamental market data, research, analysis and thousands of daily price assessments widely used as benchmarks in the physical and futures markets.

    The S&P GSCI Electric Vehicle Metals is the first S&P DJI index to incorporate data from SPGCI. It is exciting to bring together the expertise of two analytically independent S&P Global divisions on such an important and relevant segment of the investment landscape. Together, we hope to improve market transparency and offer market participants the ability to build unique investment strategies across a growing segment of the energy transition.

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Examining the Growth of Decrement Indices

OVERVIEW FROM A GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE

A decrement is an overlay applied to a given base index.  A decrement index is constructed by deducting a predefined dividend or fee at predefined intervals from the total return of the base index.

S&P Dow Jones Indices (S&P DJI) has been publishing decrement indices since 2016.  Initially using the term “synthetic” or “premium” in index names, we subsequently unified the naming convention to “decrement” indices.  We have developed a transparent decrement framework through a series of decrement indices, including the S&P 500 Decrement Indices, S&P ESG Decrement Indices, and multi-asset decrement indices.

The decrement methodology can be overlaid on any of our globally accepted, independent underlying indices.  The parameters used in the calculation of decrement indices can be customized based on product issuer or market participant requirements.

CHANGES IN DEMAND

One key trend we observed in 2021 was further expanding demand in Asia and the U.S.  Being the first region to enter a zero or negative interest rate regime, Europe is ahead of other regions in the development of decrement index-linked products.  A low-rate environment makes it challenging for issuers to provide attractive terms and triggers the search for a new underlying asset that could deliver cheaper optionality.  Decrement indices were designed to provide a solution for this challenge.  With interest rates dropping further globally after the pandemic began, we started to see growing demand for decrement indices in Asia and the U.S. as well.

Another key trend has been increasing interest in ESG and thematic benchmarks as the underlying indices for decrement strategies.  ESG and megatrend investing have been growing steadily over time, and they tend to land in the spotlight during extreme events, such as the global pandemic.  With ESG and thematic investing growing at a faster pace since the pandemic started, decrement strategies on these topics are picking up globally.

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Collaborating Efficiently in the Rise of Remote Work

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Jason Ye

Director, Factors and Thematics Indices

S&P Dow Jones Indices

The onset of the COVID-19 pandemic has caused tremendous changes to the economic and social world, completely revamping the way we communicate and collaborate in the work environment.  Corporations globally have been rethinking work models as we start to consider the post-pandemic world.  Even as some countries start to open up gradually, more flexible work arrangements seem to be popular options going forward, and corporations will need strategies that help workers collaborate efficiently.

Enterprise collaboration might be the answer.  Enterprise collaboration is a set of solutions designed to help users communicate and complete work tasks within their enterprise.  It includes various tools, platforms, groupware, and networks, which are intended to empower enterprise-wide coordination.  The enterprise collaboration market size is expected to grow from USD 47.2 billion in 2021 to USD 85.8 billion by 2026.  S&P Dow Jones Indices launched the S&P Kensho Enterprise Collaboration Index to track companies involved in the enterprise collaboration market.

From 2020 to 2022, during which 55% of global businesses offered the capacity to work from home, enterprise collaboration shaped the online working style by enabling individuals and teams to work together via the internet.  Since the COVID-19 outbreak, the demand for better enterprise collaboration solutions has continued to evolve and likely be a main trend for the long term.

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Gauging Opportunities from the Hydrogen Economy

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Jason Ye

Director, Factors and Thematics Indices

S&P Dow Jones Indices

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The Fourth Industrial Revolution will be driven by renewable energy, and in the context of energy transition, hydrogen could play a vital role.  According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), to achieve net zero emissions by 2050, an investment of USD 1.2 trillion in low-carbon hydrogen supply and use would be required. The hydrogen council projected a USD 2.5 trillion global hydrogen market by 2050. The U.S. Department of Energy projected an estimated USD 750 billion annual revenue and a cumulative 3.4 million jobs created by 2050 under the hydrogen economy. Leveraging advanced machine learning and natural language processing technology, S&P Dow Jones Indices launched the S&P Kensho Hydrogen Economy Index, which is designed to track companies involved in the hydrogen economy, including companies focused on the production, transportation, and storage of hydrogen.  In this paper, we will introduce the hydrogen economy, and how we measure the opportunity from it through an indexing approach.

INTRODUCTION

Hydrogen is the simplest and smallest element in the periodic table.  It is also the most abundant chemical substance in the universe, constituting roughly 75% of all normal matter.  On Earth, hydrogen is mostly found in molecular forms such as water and organic compounds.  Like electricity, hydrogen is also secondary energy.  Hydrogen can be produced from water; when molecular hydrogen and oxygen are combined and react, the process generates energy, and either water or hydrogen peroxide is produced.  The heating value of the process is 141.80 MJ/kg, which is 3 times the heat value of diesel (44.80 MJ/kg), and 4.3 times the heat value of coal (32.50 MJ/kg). Unlike burning diesel or coal, the combustion process of hydrogen generates zero carbon emissions.  If we can reduce or eliminate the carbon emission in the hydrogen production process, it could be a clean, efficient, and sustainable energy source that would likely play an essential role in the decarbonization movement of the next few decades.

Professor John Bockris came up with the term “hydrogen economy” in his speech at the General Motors Technical Center in 1970.  However, the process of establishing a hydrogen economy has historically been slow and challenging, primarily due to the large scale of infrastructural investment required and high hydrogen production costs.  As of 2020, the global demand for hydrogen was about 70 million tons (see Exhibit 1).  Almost all this demand was for refining and industrial use, such as decreasing sulfur content in diesel fuel and production of ammonia and methane.  In the future, hydrogen can replace natural gas to provide heat for buildings, and be used for oil refinement, cement production, and steelmaking in the industrial sector.  It can serve as an alternative to fossil fuel for vehicles such as buses, trains, ships, and even airplanes.  In addition, hydrogen can be used as a storage of low-cost, excess renewable electricity, which could support the integration of renewable electricity systems.  Under the net zero by 2050 scenario, global hydrogen demand could almost triple by 2030, reaching over 200 million tons (see Exhibit 1).

On the production side, currently, hydrogen is produced mainly from fossil fuels (gray hydrogen), resulting in close to 900 million tons of CO2 emissions per year. Under the net zero scenario, the growth of hydrogen demand would be supplied by the production of blue hydrogen and green hydrogen (see Exhibit 1).

Gauging Opportunities from the Hydrogen Economy: Exhibit 1

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FAQ: S&P Carbon Control Indices

S&P Carbon Control Indices

  1. Who is S&P Dow Jones Indices?  S&P Dow Jones Indices (S&P DJI) is the largest global resource for essential index-based concepts, data, and research, and it is home to iconic financial market indicators, such as the S&P 500® and the Dow Jones Industrial Average®. S&P Dow Jones Indices has been a pioneer in environmental, social, and governance (ESG) indexing for more than 20 years, starting with the 1999 launch of the Dow Jones Sustainability World Index. Today, we offer an extensive range of indices to fit varying risk/return and ESG expectations, from core ESG and low-carbon climate approaches to thematic and fixed income ESG strategies.
  2. Who is S&P Global Trucost?  S&P Global Trucost is a leader in carbon and environmental data and risk analysis and assesses risks relating to climate change, natural resource constraints, and broader ESG factors.
  3. Where does S&P DJI get its ESG data?  S&P Global provides the data that powers the globally recognized Dow Jones Sustainability Indices (DJSI), S&P 500 ESG Index, and others in the S&P ESG Index Series. Each year, S&P Global conducts the Corporate Sustainability Assessment (CSA), an ESG analysis of over 11,000 companies. The CSA has produced one of the world’s most comprehensive databases of financially material sustainability information and serves as the basis for the scores that govern S&P DJI’s ESG indices.
  4. S&P CARBON CONTROL INDICES

  5. What are the S&P Carbon Control Indices? These indices are designed to measure the performance of eligible securities from an underlying benchmark index, selected and weighted to minimize the weighted average carbon intensity, subject to index active share, active industry group weight, active country weight, and diversification constraints. The indices also apply exclusions based on companies’ involvement in specific business activities, performance against the principles of United Nations’ Global Compact, involvement in relevant ESG controversies, and companies with low ESG scores relative to global averages in each Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS®) industry group.
  6. Why were the S&P Carbon Control Indices created?  Each index in the series aims to (a) greatly reduce average carbon intensity of the underlying benchmark; (b) screen out companies that derive significant revenue from objectionable practices, industries, or product lines, as well as those identified as ESG laggards; and (c) offer broad diversification across a range of companies in the underlying index.

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