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2023 Private Markets Review: Cambridge Associates Benchmarks versus Public Indices

TalkingPoints: Mapping the Growing Thematics Landscape with Indices

Leverage in Volatility-Controlled Indices: The How and Why

A Tailored Measurement of Emerging Markets: The S&P Emerging Ex-China BMI

The Importance of Dividends

2023 Private Markets Review: Cambridge Associates Benchmarks versus Public Indices

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Nicholas Godec

Senior Director, Head of Fixed Income Tradables & Private Markets

S&P Dow Jones Indices

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Greg Vadala

Executive Director, Global Strategic Partnerships

S&P Dow Jones Indices

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Richard LaBelle

Senior Associate, Private Market Indices

S&P Dow Jones Indices

Background on Cambridge Associates Private Investment Benchmarks

For over 50 years, Cambridge Associates has worked with endowments, foundations, family offices, pensions and other institutional investors to build and align portfolios to investors' goals.  Cambridge Associates was an early proponent of private investing.  Due to its deep understanding of datasets across private market asset classes, strategies and geographies, it remains a critical proponent and advisor in the private market landscape. Over decades of advising investors and working with private market fund managers, Cambridge Associates has developed a platform that tracks over 98,000 investments, 10,000 private investment funds and over 15,000 operating metrics, and it maintains over 6,600 General Partner (GP) relationships.

Cambridge Associates initially built private market benchmarks for their institutional investor clients’ private portfolios.  It still uses its benchmarks to advise its institutional clients on their private market exposures; however, the number of investments and strategies that comprise the benchmarks has grown drastically with the growth in the underlying markets.  The benchmarks follow a rules-based approach and are constructed with clearly defined classifications established by Cambridge Associates.

Benchmarking Private Markets

Private markets are among the fastest-growing but most opaque market segments.  There’s also a high degree of return dispersion, making benchmarking private markets more nuanced than public markets.  Return measures at different points of the performance curve become critical for determining whether a fund manager is outperforming.  Some critical differences in benchmarking private markets relative to public markets are disclosure requirements, financial statement reporting frequency and the impact fund managers play in the investment cycle (e.g., the timing of cashflows).  Accurate benchmarking for private investments requires a diligent and thorough process and access to a “golden source” of performance data.  In private markets, that golden source is fund financial statements.

Data Sourcing Is Key

Cambridge Associates sources its data directly from private investment fund managers.  The managers contribute their data to the anonymous benchmark sample across all strategies and geographies.  Contributing managers are screened to ensure the data is of institutional quality, meaning it’s comprised of funds that are a viable opportunity for institutional investors, such as endowments and foundations, public pension and sovereign wealth funds, and large private family offices.  This process differs from a private market benchmark built from public sources, which often rely on data collected through Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) requests or publicly available data.  This can impact the accuracy and timeliness of the data.

The Cambridge Associates private investment benchmarking universe is broad and granular, reflecting the diverse opportunity set in private markets.  Its standard benchmarks are organized intuitively into four main strategies: Private Equity, Venture Capital, Private Credit and Real Assets.  Cambridge Associates also generates aggregated benchmarks that blend Private Equity and Venture Capital.  Within these broad categories are carve-outs, including Buyouts, Growth Equity, Subordinated Capital, Distressed Debt, Infrastructure, Real Estate, Secondaries and Fund of Funds.  The categories can further be broken down by geography, size or sector.

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TalkingPoints: Mapping the Growing Thematics Landscape with Indices

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Ari Rajendra

Head of Thematic Indices

S&P Dow Jones Indices

1. How does S&P Dow Jones Indices (S&P DJI) define thematics?

Thematics encompasses trends that are anticipated to unfold over the long term — though definitions can vary and evolve. As an independent index provider, S&P DJI’s role extends beyond measuring markets, and we aim to offer a breadth of choices to investors. Our definition of thematics is comprehensive, embracing both niche topics and broad concepts across the thematic landscape. From drone technology to the larger clean energy value chain, we offer a wide range of thematic solutions.

We focus on identifying themes poised to drive growth and investment opportunities across financial markets, spanning various domains such as innovative technology, sustainability, healthcare and demographics. Many of these themes are anticipated to catalyze significant transformation or disruption across their respective sectors.

2. What is the next phase of indexing thematics, and what’s driving innovation and growth in this space?

Historically, thematic investing has primarily been the domain of active management, owing to its unique characteristics. This is because effectively navigating thematic exposures requires identifying and defining emerging trends, as well as understanding the intricate value chains associated with these themes, which often extend beyond traditional business hierarchies. There is also the need for agility to adapt as themes evolve over time.

Fortunately, thanks to recent advancements, the indexing toolkit has greatly expanded, providing S&P DJI with access to vast specialist datasets and cutting-edge technologies like artificial intelligence (AI). These resources enable us to develop thematic index solutions that better address investor needs. Moreover, within S&P Global, we benefit from a wealth of expert knowledge across diverse domains such as sustainability, commodities, and mobility. Leveraging this expertise, we have been able to create indices that seamlessly blend superior insights with rules-based portfolio construction and independent administration, offering thematic purity.

We believe that this combination of data, technology and expert knowledge will continue to propel the growth of thematic indexing and contribute to democratizing thematic investing, making it more accessible and impactful for market participants.

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Leverage in Volatility-Controlled Indices: The How and Why

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Sara Pollock

Director, Multi-Asset Indices

S&P Dow Jones Indices

Introduction

Volatility-controlled indices (VCIs), also known as risk control indices, are commonly used as index account options within index-linked annuities.  The goal of the indices is to provide exposure to an underlying equity asset or multi-asset combination while realizing a volatility level close to a target.

How Does a VCI Seek to Achieve a Target Volatility Level?

The first thing about VCIs that comes to mind, for most, is the usage of the theoretical cash component in high volatility environments—but that is only half the story.  On the flip side, how is the index designed to operate in periods of low volatility?

To answer that, we will review the two basic concepts that these indices employ, and when. 

Market Volatility > Index Target Volatility

As indicated above, a VCI typically consists of an equity component and theoretical cash component or is an index of indices.  When market volatility spikes, a VCI will allocate (or, in the context of indices, weight index components) away from the underlying index component and toward a risk dampening asset class, commonly a theoretical cash component. S&P DJI’s risk control index offerings include a variety of frameworks that use a theoretical cash component or a liquid bond index.

In this case, the VCI will allocate less than 100% to the underlying index, and therefore will not be leveraged.  Allocation in a VCI refers to the weight attributed to each asset class, most commonly an equity component and a theoretical cash component.

The lower volatility asset class dampens the overall VCI’s volatility level, allowing the index to more closely realize a target volatility when market volatility is high.

Market Volatility < Index Target Volatility

On the other hand, when market volatility is below the target, the VCI can allocate more than 100% to the underlying equity or multi-asset index in an effort to increase volatility.  A weighting of more than 100% to an underlying index component is referred to as leverage.

Leverage allows a VCI to increase volatility and more closely realize the target when market volatility is low.

Applying Leverage: An Example

To illustrate how leverage within a VCI could affect index performance, we will use the S&P 500® Dynamic Intraday TCA Index as an example.  Please note that this outcome is not guaranteed but is included for general illustrative purposes only. 

If general equity volatility is low, for the S&P 500 Dynamic Intraday TCA Index to more closely achieve its volatility target of 15%, it can allocate up to a maximum of 250% to the underlying S&P 500.  This maximum is called the leverage cap.

If the S&P 500 posts results of 1%, at the leverage cap and under normal market conditions, the S&P 500 Dynamic Intraday TCA Index performance could be 2.5 times this, or 2.5%. 

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A Tailored Measurement of Emerging Markets: The S&P Emerging Ex-China BMI

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Hector Huitzil Granados

Senior Analyst, Global Equities

S&P Dow Jones Indices

Executive Summary

The S&P Emerging Ex-China BMI (Broad Market Index) offers a unique measurement of emerging markets by excluding Chinese equities, which tend to dominate many market-capitalization-weighted indices.  Since its inception in 1989, the S&P Global BMI Series has provided benchmarks for performance measurement, asset allocation and index replication.  This paper explores the unique characteristics of the S&P Emerging Ex-China BMI and its distinct risk/return profile.

The S&P Emerging BMI, a member of the S&P Global BMI Series, provides a reliable benchmark for emerging market equities.  The predominance of Chinese equities in emerging markets translates into a sizable weight in most float-adjusted market-cap-weighted indices, so the S&P Emerging Ex-China BMI was launched to meet the need for a benchmark for emerging market equities that excludes China.  In this paper, we will learn more about the index’s distinct risk/return profile and delve into how its characteristics provide a unique perspective on emerging market equities.

Index Characteristics

The S&P Emerging Ex-China BMI spans 22 markets and over 3,000 large-, mid- and small-cap constituents.  It follows the same methodology as its benchmark, the S&P Emerging BMI, with the added exclusion of companies domiciled in China, which has the largest market weight and constituent count in the benchmark.  Additionally, due to the regional market classification framework used by S&P Dow Jones Indices (S&P DJI), our emerging market benchmarks exclude constituents domiciled in South Korea as this market is classified as developed, a status it has held since 2001.  This is an important characteristic, as a comparable competitor index—the MSCI Emerging Markets ex China—classifies South Korea as an emerging market.  It is worth noting that every year S&P DJI conducts a complete review of all regional markets included in its global equity benchmarks to determine if current classifications are accurate or if a market consultation is appropriate to reevaluate their status.  Quantitative and qualitative criteria are employed alongside global investor feedback when evaluating market status, and final decisions are made by the S&P Dow Jones Indices Committee based on criteria and conditions, feedback from clients ahead of formal consultations and, finally, the results of the consultations.

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The Importance of Dividends

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Jason Ye

Director, Factors and Thematics Indices

S&P Dow Jones Indices

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Izzy Wang

Senior Analyst, Factors and Dividends

S&P Dow Jones Indices

Introduction

The percentage of dividends as a part of personal income has steadily increased over time, making dividends an important source of income.  Dividend income has climbed from 2.68% in Q4 1980 to 7.88% in Q2 2024, whereas interest income has declined from 14.58% to 7.61% over the same period (see Exhibit 1).

Exhibit 1: Dividends and Interest as Percent of Personal Income

Since 1936, dividends have accounted for more than one-third of the total equity return of the S&P 500®, with capital appreciation making up the other two-thirds.  Exhibits 2 and 3 illustrate the historical importance of dividends.

Exhibit 2: Percentage of Annualized Total Return from Dividends for the S&P 500

Exhibit 3: Dividends and the Compounding Effect

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