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Industry Credit Outlook 2024: Key Themes

A soft landing for the global economy suggests revenues and cash flow will see a modest rebound and draw a line under a remarkably mild earnings recession. Dwindling cost inflation should boost margins, but labor costs remain a concern and supply-chain worries could deepen if Middle East conflict and trade tensions escalate. Credit risks are mostly concentrated in the weaker parts of the credit spectrum where stretched capital structures create vulnerabilities to refinancing and rate pressure.

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