articles Ratings /ratings/en/research/articles/250506-u-s-auto-loan-abs-tracker-march-2025-performance-13485818 content esgSubNav
In This List
COMMENTS

U.S. Auto Loan ABS Tracker: March 2025 Performance

COMMENTS

European Auto ABS Index Report Q1 2025

COMMENTS

European And U.K. Credit Card ABS Index Report Q1 2025

COMMENTS

Sector Review: China Securitization Performance Watch 1Q 2025: Tariff Impact Looms Despite Robust Issuance

COMMENTS

Weekly European CLO Update


U.S. Auto Loan ABS Tracker: March 2025 Performance

Tables 1 and 2 show the historical monthly performance of prime and subprime U.S. auto loan ABS for the past 14 months, respectively, while charts 1 and 2 illustrate performance from March 2011 through March 2025.

For the full dataset, see our extended tables: Click here.

Charts 5–10 provide vintage static pool performance for both sectors for 2008 and 2016 through Q3 2024. In this month's tracker, we've included the vintage cumulative net loss (CNL) charts for the prime auto ABS issuers. (We had included the subprime issuers' vintage CNL charts in "U.S. Auto Loan ABS Tracker: Full-Year And December 2024 Performance," published Feb. 23, 2025.)

Table 1

Prime 12-month summary
Prime composite
Month-year Outstanding amount ($) Annualized losses (%) Recovery rate (%) 60+ day DQ (%) 30+ day DQ (%) U.S. unemployment rate U.S. CPI*
Mar-25 99,383,772,858.98 0.69 61.32 0.51 1.78 4.20 2.40
Feb-25 103,964,604,410.40 0.68 55.83 0.55 1.73 4.10 2.80
Jan-25 104,524,614,318.13 0.76 51.31 0.60 1.88 4.00 3.00
Dec-24 99,744,616,673.75 0.80 49.85 0.62 2.04 4.10 2.90
Nov-24 100,698,946,789.98 0.74 52.40 0.58 1.89 4.20 2.70
Oct-24 101,938,987,228.87 0.76 54.95 0.55 1.86 4.10 2.60
Sep-24 98,038,334,330.66 0.74 51.30 0.60 1.87 4.10 2.40
Aug-24 97,047,258,206.81 0.79 66.54 0.62 1.91 4.20 2.50
Jul-24 96,318,185,361.02 0.75 53.92 0.61 1.95 4.20 2.90
Jun-24 94,855,539,660.21 0.64 55.13 0.58 1.81 4.10 3.00
May-24 93,258,053,085.53 0.55 63.54 0.54 1.73 4.00 3.30
Apr-24 92,976,031,616.53 0.56 63.54 0.54 1.67 3.90 3.40
Mar-24 88,885,665,508.80 0.62 59.88 0.51 1.68 3.90 3.50
Feb-24 92,639,277,629.37 0.67 51.94 0.54 1.68 3.90 3.20
*U.S. CPI as reported by Bureau of Labor Statistics. CPI--Consumer price index. DQ--Delinquency.

Table 2

Subprime 12-month summary
Subprime composite
Month-year Outstanding amount ($) Annualized losses (%) Recovery rate (%) 60+ day DQ (%) 30+ day DQ (%)
Mar-25 58,440,355,113.48 7.98 43.59 5.59 14.66
Feb-25 61,048,860,859.98 8.71 36.61 5.84 15.15
Jan-25 62,140,654,547.44 9.44 33.30 6.22 16.15
Dec-24 60,820,496,895.26 9.22 30.41 6.40 17.02
Nov-24 58,860,047,149.06 9.14 35.08 6.01 15.91
Oct-24 58,228,571,956.90 9.50 36.37 5.87 15.79
Sep-24 59,484,708,527.46 8.61 35.43 5.94 15.78
Aug-24 56,964,349,388.28 9.64 36.60 5.90 15.59
Jul-24 55,652,368,521.21 8.82 34.97 5.98 16.07
Jun-24 54,367,389,223.75 7.95 36.52 5.82 15.55
May-24 54,774,744,733.07 7.23 44.61 5.40 14.93
Apr-24 53,964,137,838.80 7.30 44.24 5.31 14.64
Mar-24 53,556,537,244.24 7.55 44.56 5.19 14.04
Feb-24 55,948,790,766.46 8.10 39.50 5.50 14.53
DQ--Delinquency.

Chart 1

image

Chart 2

image

Chart 3

image

Chart 4

image

For a dynamic, visual, and comparative view of the data presented in this report, access our new interactive U.S. ABS Auto Loan Tracker dashboard by clicking here. The dashboard tracks the collateral performance of prime and subprime auto ABS transactions and enables the filtering of data to identify key metrics and trends. This image is a preview.

image

Static Pool Performance And Auto Loan Static Index (ALSI)

Prime CNLs for 2023 and the first two quarters of 2024 continue trending worse than the 2016 vintage, while early performance of third quarter 2024 shows stabilization  The Prime static pool for the 2023 vintage with the CNL of 58 basis points (bps) at month 16 continues to exhibit the worst performance of all prior historical annual vintages from 2016 through 2023. We observed further deterioration in performance for the first two quarters of 2024, which have taken slightly higher losses than the 2023 vintage. However, the third-quarter 2024 vintage with CNLs of 18 bps at month 7 is similar to 2016-2019 vintage performance and lower than the 21 bps for Q2 2024 despite recoveries declining to 37.79% from 42.66%.

Higher gross losses combined with lower recoveries remain the main reason for elevated loss performance for 2023 and first two quarters of 2024. For the third quarter of 2024, however, gross losses are trending lower than the two prior quarterly vintages and for 2023. Unfortunately, depressed recoveries for this quarterly vintage (lower than the 2008 vintage) have nearly offset lower defaults.

Lower defaults in the third quarter 2024 are due to prime issuers starting to implement remedies to manage the performance, which includes tightening credit underwriting, improving collection systems, hiring more repossession agents, and implementing enhanced fraud detection systems.

Late payments on the 2022 vintage at month 28 (0.72%) continued to trend slightly higher than the 2008 vintage at the same month, while the 2023 vintage at month 16 (0.56%) is trending slightly better than the 2008 and 2022 vintages. Sixty-plus-day delinquencies for the first-quarter 2024 vintage were 0.52% at month 13 (like 2008), while the second-quarter 2024 vintage's delinquencies totaled 0.49% at month 10 (higher than those for all the previous vintages). However, the 60-plus-day delinquencies for the third quarter of 2024 at month 7 were 0.29%, which is lower than recent vintages.

Overall, the 2023 vintage and first two quarters of 2024 are trending weaker, with higher losses and lower recoveries. However, third-quarter 2024 saw better performance with lower gross and net losses and lower delinquencies.

Chart 5

image

Chart 6

image

Chart 7

image

Chart 8

image

Subprime CNLs for 2023 vintage and quarterly 2024 vintages continue to track better than 2022, which is the highest loss vintage since 2008, but delinquencies on recent vintages remain elevated

The subprime static pool 2023 vintage performance continues to track better than 2022. At month 17 losses for 2023 were 7.30% compared with 7.99% and 8.00% for 2022 and 2008, respectively. The first-quarter 2024 vintage though is trending worse (CNL of 4.96%) than the 2023 annual vintage (4.78%) at month 12, while the second- and third-quarter 2024 vintages are performing slightly better on a CNL basis than 2023. The third quarter of 2024 reflected some weakening performance at month 7 compared to Q2 2024 at the same point. However, Q3 2024 losses are still lower at 1.98% than Q1 2024 and 2023 at 2.11% and 2.09%, respectively. Additionally, Q3 2024 losses are trending better than 2022.

Recoveries for the 2023 vintage continue to be the weakest observed of the annual cohorts at 33.95% in month 17, compared to 36.17% for 2022 and 36.44% for 2008. Recoveries declined for Q3 2024 at month 7 to 26.13% from 27.18% in Q2 2024 but are still higher than 2023 at the same point in time (25.31%).

Sixty-plus-day delinquencies continued to decline for the 2023 vintage from the historically high levels observed on the 2022 vintage. As of month 17, 2023 delinquencies were 5.79%, compared to 6.49% in 2022 and 4.37% in 2007 (delinquencies were low for the 2008 vintage at 2.30% due to only a few transactions being completed that year). Delinquencies for the first three quarters of 2024 are trending lower than 2022 but remain high relative to prior vintages. Additionally, 60-plus-day delinquencies for Q3 2024 are trending higher at 4.61% in month 7, compared to 4.21% for Q1 2024 and 3.92% for Q2 2024.

Chart 9

image

Chart 10

image

Chart 11

image

Chart 12

image

Issuer-Specific CNL Performance--Prime

For Prime issuers, we generally observe a weakened performance for the 2023 and 2024 transactions (see charts 13-35 in Appendix I):

  • Of the 16 issuers that securitized in both 2023 and 2024, 12 (75%) are reporting higher losses on 2024 vintages than 2023 vintages. However, the degree of deterioration varies by issuer.
  • The four issuers for which the losses for 2024 are lower than 2023 are CarMax, Carvana, Hyundai, and Stellantis Financial Services.

Given the weak performance for several 2024 issuances (relative to our expectations), we have raised our expected CNLs (ECNLs) on certain transactions with at least 12 months of performance. For some 2024 prime issuances, although the performance is weaker than COVID-19-impacted transactions, the losses remain in line with our original expectations and, therefore, we maintained our ECNLs. At this time, the transactions have sufficient credit enhancement to absorb the losses at the requisite multiple. As a result, there have been no negative rating actions in the prime sector this year.

On April 22, 2025, we published an in-depth article using loan-level charge-off information explaining some of the reasons certain issuers are reporting higher losses on their 2023 and 2024 issuances (see "Reduced Affordability Contributes To Deteriorating Prime Auto Loan ABS Performance").

Surveillance

Table 3

Surveillance actions
Rating action (by class) ECNL (no. of transactions)
Date Issuer Transactions reviewed Upgrades Downgrades Affirmations CreditWatch Removed from Credit Watch CreditWatch extended Increased Decreased Maintained
Prime
4/9/2025 CRVNA P 14 5 65 14
4/25/2025 FAST (Canadian trusts) 2 2 6 1 1
Nonprime/Subprime
4/17/2025 Lendbuzz 2 4 2
4/21/2025 DRIVE 1 2 1 1
Total 19 13 0 72 0 0 0 14 2 3
CRVNA P--Carvana Auto Receivables Trust Prime, Lendbuzz--Lendbuzz Securitization Trust, DRIVE--Drive Auto Receivables Trust, FAST--Ford Auto Securitization Trust II. ECNLs--Expected cumulative net losses.

Table 4

Historical ratings activity--U.S. auto loan ABS
Period Upgrades Downgrades
2015 177 0
2016 357 0
2017 322 0
2018 335 2
2019 432 5
2020 332 8
2021 579 0
2022 416 6
2023 396 6
2024 313 11
2025(i) 25 0
Total 3,684 38
(i)As of April 30, 2025. ABS--Asset-backed securities.

Table 5

Historical ratings activity--Canadian ABS auto loan ABS
Period Upgrades Downgrades
2021 8 0
2022 3 0
2023 2 0
2024 0 0
2025(i) 2 0
Total 15 0
(i)As of April 30, 2025. ABS--Asset-backed securities.

In April 2024, we reviewed 17 U.S. transactions and raised our loss expectations on 14, decreased them on one, and maintained them on two. We reviewed 14 Carvana Auto Receivables Trust Prime deals and raised our expectations on all of them on account of higher back-end losses, lower recoveries, and an increasing trend in 60-plus-day delinquencies for the shelf. Nevertheless, the rating actions resulted in five upgrades and 65 affirmations with no downgrades.

Overall, our review resulted in 11 upgrades and 66 affirmations on U.S. auto loan ABS. Through April 30, we have upgraded 25 U.S. auto loan ABS classes and downgraded none. We currently have 10 subprime classes on CreditWatch negative. In March, we placed nine ratings on five Flagship Credit Auto Trust Transactions on CreditWatch negative. Classes D and E are the only affected classes and are from the 2021 and 2022 transactions. Also in March, we placed our 'BB- (sf)' rating on the Prestige Auto Receivables Trust 2024-1 class E notes on CreditWatch negative. These actions are the result of weaker-than-expected performance.

Additionally, in April we reviewed two Canadian ABS transactions and lowered our loss expectations on one and maintained them on one.

Table 6

Carvana Auto Receivables Trust Prime
Original ECNL Former ECNL (i) Revised ECNL/recent action (ii)
2020-P1 3.75 (3.50-4.00) 1.40 1.70
2021-P1 3.60 (3.35-3.85) 1.40 1.70
2021-P2 3.60 (3.35-3.85) 1.55 1.95
2021-P3 2.75 (2.50-3.00) 2.10 2.65
2021-P4 2.75 (2.50-3.00) 2.20 2.85
2022-P1 2.75 (2.50-3.00) 2.50 3.10
2022-P2 2.75 (2.50-3.00) 2.70 3.60
2022-P3 2.75 (2.50-3.00) 3.00 3.90
2023-P1 2.75 3.00 4.00
2023-P2 2.75 3.10 4.25
2023-P3 2.30 N/A 4.50
2023-P4 2.30 N/A 3.80
2023-P5 2.30 N/A 3.00
2024-P1 2.30 N/A 2.75
(i)Revised in June 2024.(ii)As of April 2025. CNL exp.--Cumulative net loss expectations. N/A--Not applicable.

Table 7

Lendbuzz Securitization Trust
Original ECGL Former ECGL Revised ECGL (i)
2024-1 17.50 N/A 17.50
2024-2 17.50 N/A 17.50
(i) As of April 2025 distribution date. CGL exp.--Cumulative gross loss expectations. N/A--Not applicable.

Table 8

Drive Auto Receivables Trust
Original ECNL Former ECNL Revised ECNL (i)
2024-1 22.00 N/A 18.00
(i)As of April 2025 distribution date. CNL exp.--Cumulative net loss expectations.

Table 9

Ford Auto Securitization Trust II
Original ECNL Former ECNL (i) Revised ECNL(ii)
2022-A 1.15 0.40 0.40
2024-A 1.15 N/A 0.90
(i)As of November 2023. (ii)As of April 2025. CNL exp.--Cumulative net loss expectations. N/A--Not applicable.

Appendix I

Chart 13

image

Chart 14

image

Chart 15

image

Chart 16

image

Chart 17

image

Chart 18

image

Chart 19

image

Chart 20

image

Chart 21

image

Chart 22

image

Chart 23

image

Chart 24

image

Chart 25

image

Chart 26

image

Chart 27

image

Chart 28

image

Chart 29

image

Chart 30

image

Chart 31

image

Chart 32

image

Chart 33

image

Chart 34

image

Chart 35

image

Appendix II

Table 10

Prime cumulative net losses (%)(i)
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016(ii) 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024
No. of deals 31 37 26 28 20 31 23 29 21 29 33 35 40 31 33 40 43 15 13 14
Initial collateral balance (bil. $) 49.02 53.20 41.25 33.45 22.77 40.72 27.93 31.22 24.03 36.23 41.35 44.25 50.99 41.74 45.08 52.87 71.15 21.05 18.77 17.83
Month
1 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
2 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01
3 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.04 0.05 0.03 0.04
4 0.09 0.11 0.09 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.07 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.08 0.10 0.07 0.07
5 0.15 0.19 0.14 0.09 0.07 0.06 0.08 0.08 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.08 0.06 0.08 0.12 0.14 0.12 0.11
6 0.22 0.27 0.18 0.12 0.09 0.08 0.11 0.11 0.13 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.11 0.09 0.11 0.16 0.19 0.16 0.15
7 0.29 0.35 0.23 0.15 0.12 0.10 0.14 0.14 0.16 0.19 0.18 0.18 0.19 0.13 0.11 0.14 0.21 0.24 0.21 0.18
8 0.35 0.44 0.28 0.18 0.15 0.12 0.17 0.17 0.20 0.23 0.22 0.21 0.22 0.15 0.13 0.17 0.25 0.28 0.26
9 0.42 0.53 0.33 0.21 0.17 0.15 0.20 0.20 0.23 0.26 0.25 0.24 0.25 0.17 0.15 0.20 0.29 0.33 0.31
10 0.50 0.63 0.37 0.24 0.19 0.17 0.22 0.22 0.26 0.30 0.29 0.27 0.28 0.18 0.17 0.23 0.34 0.38 0.35
11 0.58 0.72 0.41 0.26 0.22 0.19 0.25 0.24 0.29 0.34 0.32 0.30 0.31 0.19 0.19 0.26 0.38 0.42
12 0.67 0.81 0.45 0.29 0.24 0.21 0.28 0.27 0.32 0.38 0.35 0.33 0.34 0.20 0.21 0.30 0.42 0.47
13 0.75 0.90 0.48 0.31 0.27 0.23 0.30 0.29 0.35 0.41 0.39 0.36 0.37 0.21 0.23 0.33 0.47 0.50
14 0.84 0.98 0.51 0.34 0.29 0.26 0.33 0.32 0.38 0.45 0.42 0.39 0.39 0.22 0.26 0.35 0.50
15 0.93 1.07 0.54 0.36 0.31 0.28 0.36 0.34 0.41 0.48 0.45 0.42 0.41 0.23 0.28 0.39 0.54
16 1.02 1.14 0.58 0.38 0.33 0.30 0.38 0.37 0.43 0.51 0.48 0.45 0.43 0.24 0.30 0.42 0.58
17 1.12 1.22 0.61 0.40 0.35 0.32 0.40 0.39 0.46 0.54 0.50 0.48 0.45 0.25 0.32 0.45
18 1.21 1.29 0.64 0.42 0.37 0.33 0.43 0.42 0.48 0.57 0.53 0.50 0.46 0.26 0.34 0.48
19 1.30 1.36 0.67 0.44 0.39 0.35 0.45 0.44 0.51 0.60 0.55 0.53 0.47 0.27 0.36 0.51
20 1.39 1.43 0.69 0.46 0.41 0.37 0.47 0.46 0.53 0.62 0.58 0.55 0.48 0.28 0.38 0.53
21 1.47 1.49 0.72 0.47 0.43 0.38 0.49 0.48 0.55 0.65 0.60 0.58 0.49 0.29 0.40 0.56
22 1.56 1.55 0.74 0.49 0.44 0.40 0.50 0.50 0.57 0.67 0.62 0.60 0.50 0.30 0.41 0.58
23 1.63 1.60 0.76 0.50 0.46 0.41 0.52 0.52 0.60 0.70 0.64 0.61 0.51 0.30 0.43 0.61
24 1.71 1.65 0.77 0.51 0.47 0.43 0.54 0.54 0.62 0.72 0.66 0.63 0.51 0.31 0.45 0.63
25 1.78 1.69 0.79 0.53 0.49 0.44 0.55 0.55 0.64 0.74 0.68 0.64 0.52 0.32 0.47 0.66
26 1.84 1.73 0.80 0.54 0.50 0.45 0.57 0.57 0.65 0.76 0.70 0.65 0.53 0.32 0.48 0.68
27 1.91 1.76 0.82 0.55 0.52 0.46 0.58 0.58 0.67 0.78 0.71 0.67 0.53 0.33 0.50 0.70
28 1.97 1.79 0.83 0.56 0.53 0.47 0.59 0.60 0.69 0.80 0.73 0.68 0.54 0.34 0.51 0.72
29 2.02 1.82 0.84 0.57 0.54 0.48 0.61 0.62 0.70 0.81 0.74 0.68 0.54 0.35 0.52
30 2.07 1.85 0.85 0.57 0.55 0.49 0.62 0.63 0.72 0.83 0.76 0.69 0.54 0.35 0.54
31 2.11 1.88 0.86 0.58 0.56 0.50 0.63 0.65 0.73 0.84 0.78 0.69 0.54 0.36 0.55
32 2.15 1.91 0.87 0.59 0.57 0.50 0.64 0.66 0.74 0.85 0.79 0.69 0.55 0.37 0.56
33 2.18 1.95 0.89 0.52 0.58 0.51 0.65 0.67 0.75 0.86 0.81 0.70 0.55 0.37 0.57
34 2.21 1.97 0.90 0.53 0.59 0.52 0.66 0.68 0.76 0.87 0.82 0.70 0.55 0.37 0.58
35 2.24 1.98 0.91 0.53 0.60 0.52 0.66 0.70 0.77 0.88 0.83 0.70 0.56 0.38 0.59
36 2.27 2.01 0.92 0.54 0.61 0.53 0.67 0.71 0.77 0.89 0.84 0.70 0.56 0.38 0.61
37 2.30 2.16 0.68 0.71 0.78 0.90 0.85 0.70 0.56 0.39 0.62
38 2.32 2.17 0.68 0.72 0.79 0.92 0.86 0.70 0.56 0.39 0.63
39 2.34 2.19 0.69 0.73 0.79 0.93 0.86 0.70 0.57 0.39 0.64
(i)We extended the reporting period for the prime 2013 and subsequent vintages to 39 months from 36 to account for the lengthening of loan terms. (ii)Beginning in 2016, we included data from transactions not rated by S&P Global Ratings. Source: S&P Global Ratings.

Table 11

Subprime cumulative net losses (%)
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012(i) 2013 2014(ii) 2015 2016(iii) 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024
No. of deals 19 4 2 14 15 26 26 29 29 38 33 42 39 35 41 40 45 12 14 7
Initial collateral balance (bil. $) 17.35 2.52 1.13 10.83 6.82 14.03 13.68 14.53 18.63 22.32 20.46 27.26 25.41 25.92 38.36 34.06 31.5 9.74 12.40 5.11
Month
1 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01
2 0.03 0.04 0.07 0.05 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.06 0.06 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02
3 0.11 0.14 0.31 0.15 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.13 0.13 0.20 0.19 0.13 0.12 0.09 0.12 0.14 0.12 0.14 0.12 0.11
4 0.38 0.40 0.73 0.50 0.37 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.44 0.55 0.52 0.39 0.42 0.29 0.41 0.60 0.47 0.48 0.43 0.44
5 0.83 0.86 1.16 0.77 0.63 0.77 0.74 0.79 0.86 0.96 0.95 0.76 0.83 0.57 0.78 1.22 0.94 0.93 0.85 0.90
6 1.39 1.41 1.59 1.03 0.85 1.05 0.98 1.21 1.39 1.47 1.51 1.26 1.34 0.86 1.20 1.93 1.49 1.47 1.33 1.42
7 1.91 1.99 2.07 1.34 1.09 1.38 1.34 1.67 1.96 2.02 2.16 1.89 1.96 1.15 1.64 2.63 2.09 2.11 1.84 1.98
8 2.43 2.54 2.42 1.65 1.32 1.72 1.70 2.13 2.52 2.57 2.72 2.48 2.53 1.41 2.02 3.26 2.67 2.72 2.37
9 2.96 3.20 2.82 2.01 1.57 2.07 2.07 2.60 3.06 3.11 3.24 2.99 3.01 1.64 2.37 3.84 3.23 3.31 2.88
10 3.47 3.82 3.10 2.32 1.82 2.45 2.45 3.04 3.61 3.66 3.74 3.46 3.45 1.87 2.74 4.39 3.76 3.85 3.33
11 3.97 4.49 3.40 2.62 2.08 2.84 2.85 3.49 4.17 4.19 4.25 3.94 3.87 2.11 3.09 4.90 4.27 4.42
12 4.47 5.16 3.69 2.91 2.36 3.25 3.28 3.92 4.68 4.71 4.77 4.39 4.21 2.33 3.44 5.44 4.78 4.96
13 4.95 5.73 4.05 3.19 2.63 3.64 3.68 4.35 5.16 5.21 5.28 4.84 4.55 2.55 3.81 5.95 5.29
14 5.39 6.28 4.39 3.52 2.91 4.02 4.04 4.75 5.61 5.70 5.76 5.29 4.87 2.77 4.16 6.47 5.78
15 5.87 6.89 4.75 3.85 3.21 4.38 4.40 5.16 6.07 6.20 6.22 5.74 5.16 2.96 4.51 6.99 6.30
16 6.38 7.44 5.11 4.17 3.47 4.72 4.77 5.54 6.57 6.66 6.67 6.19 5.45 3.16 4.86 7.49 6.80
17 6.89 8.00 5.43 4.50 3.71 5.10 5.14 5.96 7.08 7.08 7.10 6.62 5.69 3.34 5.19 7.99 7.30
18 7.39 8.52 5.77 4.79 3.93 5.45 5.53 6.34 7.54 7.50 7.53 7.05 5.88 3.52 5.52 8.49
19 7.91 8.90 6.06 5.06 4.14 5.79 5.88 6.70 8.00 7.89 7.96 7.44 6.07 3.68 5.82 8.96
20 8.39 9.34 6.24 5.33 4.35 6.11 6.20 7.06 8.42 8.28 8.35 7.79 6.23 3.85 6.09 9.41
21 8.86 9.80 6.53 5.57 4.59 6.42 6.52 7.41 8.82 8.66 8.72 8.10 6.38 4.02 6.35 9.82
22 9.32 10.23 6.71 5.77 4.80 6.70 6.81 7.72 9.19 9.04 9.07 8.39 6.52 4.18 6.60 10.22
23 9.76 10.69 6.92 5.97 5.01 6.98 7.08 8.04 9.55 9.39 9.41 8.62 6.66 4.32 6.83 10.60
24 10.19 11.08 7.10 6.17 5.22 7.27 7.34 8.33 9.88 9.73 9.74 8.82 6.79 4.47 7.08 10.98
25 10.54 11.41 7.28 6.38 5.43 7.49 7.56 8.63 10.19 10.06 10.06 9.03 6.92 4.63 7.30 11.35
26 10.90 11.75 7.49 6.61 5.65 7.76 7.80 8.93 10.48 10.38 10.35 9.20 7.03 4.79 7.53 11.70
27 11.21 12.07 7.69 6.80 5.86 7.99 8.06 9.20 10.77 10.70 10.64 9.37 7.13 4.93 7.76 12.05
28 11.54 12.43 7.91 7.01 6.06 8.14 8.29 9.44 11.06 10.99 10.92 9.52 7.24 5.01 7.99 12.39
29 11.88 12.73 8.07 7.21 6.08 8.36 8.53 9.56 11.35 11.28 11.20 9.65 7.33 5.15 8.21
30 12.19 13.04 8.24 7.37 6.22 8.35 8.79 9.81 11.51 11.46 11.45 9.76 7.45 5.30 8.41
31 12.50 13.28 8.41 7.58 6.36 8.57 8.93 10.04 11.77 11.56 11.64 9.86 7.55 5.41 8.61
32 12.77 13.52 8.55 7.72 6.49 8.77 9.16 10.24 12.03 11.82 11.88 9.94 7.64 5.53 8.80
33 12.96 13.75 8.71 7.78 6.61 8.95 9.38 10.46 12.26 12.08 12.09 9.88 7.75 5.63 8.98
34 13.19 13.98 8.82 7.95 6.58 8.61 9.60 10.67 12.48 12.33 12.29 9.94 7.73 5.73 9.16
35 13.38 14.22 8.88 8.10 6.71 8.77 9.80 10.92 12.70 12.56 12.45 10.00 7.82 5.83 9.33
36 13.59 14.42 8.97 8.25 6.84 8.92 9.98 11.13 12.91 12.78 12.60 10.05 7.91 5.93 9.47
37 13.76 14.61 9.05 8.38 6.99 9.07 10.16 11.31 13.10 12.99 12.72 10.12 8.01 6.03 9.64
38 13.92 14.78 9.13 8.54 7.11 9.21 10.32 11.50 13.31 13.19 12.83 10.17 8.10 6.13 9.79
39 14.08 14.96 9.22 8.67 7.24 9.36 10.50 11.67 13.49 13.38 12.94 10.21 8.17 6.22 9.95
40 14.23 15.12 9.33 8.78 7.37 9.50 10.66 11.60 13.70 13.56 13.03 10.27 8.26 6.31 10.02
41 14.39 15.27 9.44 8.92 7.44 9.64 10.82 11.10 13.90 13.75 13.10 10.31 8.36 6.39
42 14.53 15.39 9.50 9.05 7.53 9.77 10.98 11.21 14.10 13.93 13.18 10.36 8.44 6.22
(i)Cumulative net losses declined in month 34 because two transactions with relatively high losses paid off in month 33. (ii)Cumulative net losses declined in months 40 and 41 because some high loss transactions paid off in months 39 and 40. (iii)Beginning in 2016, includes AmeriCredit and SDART transactions that are not rated by S&P Global Ratings. Source: S&P Global Ratings.

Table 12

Prime cumulative gross losses (%)(i)
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016(ii) 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024
No. of deals 31 37 26 28 20 31 23 29 21 29 33 35 40 31 33 40 43 15 13 14
Initial collateral balance (bil. $) 49.02 53.20 41.25 33.45 22.77 40.72 27.93 31.22 24.03 36.23 41.35 44.25 50.99 41.74 45.08 52.87 71.15 21.05 18.77 17.83
Month
1 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.01
2 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02
3 0.07 0.09 0.08 0.05 0.06 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.08 0.07 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.07 0.08 0.05 0.05
4 0.18 0.20 0.16 0.10 0.12 0.08 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.14 0.13 0.09 0.07 0.07 0.13 0.16 0.11 0.10
5 0.29 0.33 0.25 0.17 0.18 0.13 0.16 0.15 0.16 0.18 0.19 0.21 0.20 0.14 0.11 0.12 0.20 0.23 0.18 0.17
6 0.41 0.48 0.35 0.24 0.25 0.18 0.22 0.21 0.23 0.26 0.26 0.27 0.26 0.18 0.16 0.17 0.27 0.32 0.26 0.23
7 0.54 0.63 0.45 0.31 0.32 0.23 0.28 0.27 0.29 0.34 0.33 0.34 0.33 0.23 0.20 0.23 0.35 0.41 0.34 0.30
8 0.68 0.79 0.55 0.38 0.38 0.29 0.34 0.33 0.36 0.41 0.40 0.41 0.40 0.27 0.24 0.29 0.42 0.49 0.42
9 0.81 0.96 0.65 0.45 0.45 0.34 0.41 0.40 0.42 0.48 0.47 0.47 0.46 0.32 0.29 0.34 0.50 0.57 0.51
10 0.96 1.14 0.75 0.52 0.53 0.39 0.47 0.46 0.49 0.56 0.54 0.54 0.52 0.36 0.33 0.40 0.59 0.67 0.60
11 1.13 1.33 0.85 0.59 0.60 0.45 0.53 0.52 0.56 0.63 0.61 0.60 0.58 0.39 0.37 0.46 0.67 0.76
12 1.28 1.50 0.94 0.66 0.67 0.50 0.60 0.57 0.62 0.71 0.68 0.67 0.64 0.43 0.42 0.53 0.76 0.85
13 1.44 1.69 1.03 0.73 0.73 0.56 0.66 0.63 0.68 0.78 0.76 0.73 0.70 0.47 0.46 0.59 0.84 0.93
14 1.60 1.88 1.11 0.79 0.80 0.62 0.71 0.69 0.75 0.86 0.82 0.80 0.75 0.50 0.51 0.65 0.92
15 1.76 2.06 1.20 0.86 0.87 0.67 0.77 0.75 0.81 0.93 0.89 0.86 0.80 0.53 0.56 0.71 1.00
16 1.93 2.24 1.29 0.92 0.93 0.72 0.83 0.81 0.87 1.00 0.95 0.92 0.85 0.56 0.60 0.77 1.08
17 2.11 2.40 1.37 0.98 0.99 0.77 0.89 0.86 0.92 1.06 1.01 0.98 0.90 0.59 0.65 0.84
18 2.28 2.57 1.45 1.04 1.05 0.82 0.94 0.92 0.98 1.13 1.07 1.04 0.95 0.62 0.69 0.90
19 2.45 2.73 1.53 1.09 1.11 0.87 0.99 0.97 1.04 1.19 1.13 1.09 0.99 0.64 0.74 0.96
20 2.63 2.88 1.60 1.14 1.17 0.91 1.04 1.02 1.09 1.25 1.18 1.15 1.03 0.67 0.78 1.02
21 2.81 3.02 1.67 1.19 1.22 0.95 1.09 1.07 1.14 1.30 1.23 1.20 1.06 0.70 0.82 1.07
22 2.98 3.16 1.74 1.24 1.27 0.99 1.13 1.12 1.19 1.36 1.28 1.24 1.10 0.72 0.86 1.12
23 3.14 3.30 1.80 1.29 1.32 1.03 1.18 1.16 1.24 1.41 1.33 1.28 1.13 0.75 0.90 1.18
24 3.30 3.41 1.86 1.33 1.37 1.07 1.22 1.21 1.28 1.46 1.38 1.32 1.16 0.77 0.94 1.24
25 3.44 3.52 1.91 1.37 1.42 1.11 1.26 1.25 1.33 1.51 1.42 1.36 1.19 0.79 0.98 1.29
26 3.58 3.62 1.96 1.41 1.46 1.14 1.29 1.29 1.37 1.55 1.46 1.39 1.21 0.81 1.02 1.34
27 3.72 3.72 2.02 1.44 1.50 1.17 1.33 1.33 1.41 1.60 1.51 1.42 1.24 0.83 1.06 1.38
28 3.85 3.80 2.07 1.48 1.54 1.20 1.36 1.37 1.45 1.64 1.55 1.46 1.27 0.85 1.09 1.43
29 3.98 3.89 2.11 1.51 1.58 1.23 1.40 1.40 1.49 1.67 1.58 1.49 1.28 0.87 1.13
30 4.10 3.97 2.15 1.54 1.61 1.26 1.43 1.44 1.52 1.71 1.62 1.51 1.30 0.89 1.16
31 4.20 4.05 2.19 1.57 1.66 1.28 1.46 1.47 1.56 1.75 1.65 1.54 1.32 0.91 1.19
32 4.29 4.12 2.23 1.59 1.69 1.30 1.49 1.50 1.59 1.78 1.68 1.56 1.33 0.93 1.23
33 4.38 4.21 2.30 1.49 1.72 1.33 1.52 1.53 1.61 1.81 1.72 1.58 1.35 0.95 1.26
34 4.46 4.28 2.34 1.51 1.75 1.35 1.55 1.56 1.64 1.84 1.74 1.60 1.36 0.96 1.29
35 4.54 4.33 2.37 1.53 1.78 1.37 1.57 1.60 1.67 1.87 1.77 1.61 1.38 0.98 1.32
36 4.61 4.39 2.40 1.55 1.80 1.39 1.59 1.63 1.69 1.89 1.79 1.63 1.40 0.99 1.34
37 4.68 4.72 2.42 1.57 1.83 1.42 1.62 1.65 1.72 1.92 1.83 1.64 1.41 1.01 1.37
38 4.74 4.77 2.45 1.59 1.85 1.43 1.64 1.67 1.74 1.96 1.85 1.66 1.42 1.02 1.40
39 4.80 4.82 2.55 1.63 1.87 1.49 1.66 1.70 1.76 1.99 1.88 1.67 1.45 1.04 1.42
(i)We extended the reporting period for the prime 2013 and subsequent vintages to 39 months from 36 to account for the lengthening of loan terms. (ii)Beginning in 2016, we included data from transactions not rated by S&P Global Ratings. Source: S&P Global Ratings.

Table 13

Subprime cumulative gross losses (%)
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012(i) 2013 2014(ii) 2015 2016(iii) 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024
No. of deals 19 4 2 14 15 26 26 29 29 38 33 42 39 35 41 40 45 12 14 7
Initial collateral balance (bil. $) 17.35 2.52 1.13 10.83 6.82 14.03 13.68 14.53 18.63 22.32 20.46 27.26 25.41 25.92 38.36 34.06 31.5 9.74 12.40 5.11
Month
1 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01
2 0.08 0.05 0.12 0.08 0.06 0.08 0.07 0.05 0.04 0.08 0.08 0.06 0.05 0.03 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.03
3 0.21 0.21 0.52 0.26 0.23 0.24 0.23 0.23 0.22 0.30 0.28 0.22 0.20 0.13 0.18 0.20 0.18 0.21 0.18 0.16
4 0.64 0.59 1.18 0.74 0.59 0.69 0.69 0.64 0.66 0.78 0.74 0.61 0.63 0.39 0.58 0.77 0.62 0.63 0.59 0.56
5 1.32 1.24 1.85 1.21 1.03 1.27 1.25 1.23 1.29 1.39 1.36 1.19 1.24 0.77 1.10 1.58 1.23 1.21 1.14 1.15
6 2.19 2.09 2.49 1.65 1.45 1.81 1.73 1.89 2.10 2.15 2.18 1.97 2.02 1.21 1.73 2.54 1.96 1.96 1.81 1.86
7 3.03 2.98 3.28 2.15 1.90 2.40 2.36 2.64 2.99 2.97 3.13 2.93 2.92 1.70 2.43 3.56 2.80 2.84 2.54 2.69
8 3.79 3.79 3.92 2.69 2.33 3.01 3.01 3.40 3.89 3.85 4.01 3.88 3.79 2.17 3.11 4.52 3.64 3.73 3.30
9 4.67 4.81 4.66 3.27 2.77 3.62 3.67 4.19 4.79 4.70 4.85 4.76 4.59 2.62 3.78 5.45 4.49 4.61 4.06
10 5.44 5.79 5.21 3.85 3.22 4.27 4.36 4.98 5.74 5.58 5.69 5.61 5.33 3.09 4.48 6.35 5.34 5.46 4.80
11 6.32 6.85 5.75 4.42 3.68 4.94 5.09 5.76 6.70 6.46 6.55 6.43 6.03 3.66 5.16 7.22 6.13 6.31
12 7.15 7.91 6.28 4.95 4.21 5.66 5.85 6.52 7.61 7.31 7.40 7.28 6.69 4.12 5.84 8.10 6.94 7.14
13 7.96 8.84 6.85 5.47 4.73 6.36 6.60 7.29 8.49 8.14 8.28 8.10 7.33 4.59 6.53 8.96 7.76
14 8.70 9.70 7.44 6.06 5.25 7.07 7.31 8.03 9.32 8.98 9.12 8.92 7.94 5.06 7.20 9.81 8.53
15 9.48 10.71 8.06 6.64 5.79 7.74 8.00 8.77 10.17 9.81 9.94 9.74 8.51 5.51 7.87 10.65 9.35
16 10.27 11.62 8.73 7.24 6.29 8.39 8.70 9.49 11.03 10.58 10.74 10.54 9.06 5.97 8.53 11.48 10.14
17 11.07 12.58 9.29 7.81 6.80 9.07 9.39 10.22 11.90 11.34 11.52 11.32 9.58 6.40 9.18 12.28 10.92
18 11.86 13.46 9.87 8.36 7.25 9.75 10.10 10.90 12.72 12.04 12.29 12.06 10.07 6.83 9.80 13.08
19 12.67 14.10 10.37 8.90 7.67 10.40 10.77 11.57 13.52 12.73 13.04 12.73 10.55 7.24 10.40 13.85
20 13.43 14.82 10.72 9.42 8.10 11.01 11.41 12.22 14.28 13.41 13.76 13.36 10.99 7.64 10.95 14.58
21 14.15 15.58 11.29 9.92 8.54 11.60 12.03 12.83 15.00 14.06 14.45 13.93 11.41 8.04 11.48 15.27
22 14.86 16.28 11.68 10.38 8.97 12.15 12.62 13.42 15.67 14.70 15.10 14.46 11.82 8.44 12.00 15.93
23 15.57 17.08 12.04 10.81 9.41 12.70 13.17 13.99 16.31 15.31 15.73 14.93 12.21 8.81 12.49 16.57
24 16.26 17.74 12.38 11.23 9.83 13.24 13.71 14.53 16.92 15.92 16.34 15.36 12.58 9.17 12.96 17.19
25 16.86 18.32 12.73 11.65 10.25 13.84 14.26 15.06 17.50 16.49 16.92 15.77 12.94 9.54 13.41 17.79
26 17.48 18.90 13.11 12.09 10.66 14.36 14.77 15.59 18.04 17.05 17.47 16.15 13.27 9.89 13.85 18.36
27 18.03 19.46 13.52 12.51 11.06 14.82 15.26 16.09 18.56 17.59 18.02 16.51 13.60 10.24 14.29 18.94
28 18.58 20.05 13.88 12.93 11.45 15.18 15.73 16.55 19.08 18.11 18.53 16.85 13.91 10.48 14.71 19.47
29 19.14 20.58 14.20 13.32 11.56 15.60 16.19 16.84 19.59 18.60 19.02 17.17 14.21 10.80 15.12
30 19.67 21.14 14.51 13.69 11.86 15.72 16.64 17.29 19.97 19.00 19.48 17.49 14.51 11.11 15.51
31 20.19 21.55 14.82 14.13 12.18 16.14 16.96 17.70 20.43 19.29 19.86 17.77 14.80 11.39 15.88
32 20.56 21.97 15.11 14.48 12.47 16.53 17.41 18.10 20.87 19.75 20.27 18.04 15.08 11.66 16.23
33 20.95 22.35 15.42 14.74 12.71 16.91 17.80 18.50 21.28 20.18 20.64 18.19 15.35 11.92 16.56
34 21.35 22.75 15.64 15.09 12.96 16.50 18.20 18.87 21.68 20.58 20.99 18.42 15.51 12.16 16.90
35 21.70 23.19 15.82 15.39 13.23 16.83 18.57 19.34 22.06 20.98 21.29 18.65 15.76 12.39 17.20
36 22.09 23.56 15.98 15.68 13.50 17.14 18.92 19.70 22.50 21.36 21.59 18.86 16.00 12.62 17.49
37 22.41 23.90 16.15 15.95 13.77 17.43 19.25 20.03 22.85 21.71 21.84 19.07 16.24 12.84 17.79
38 22.73 24.21 16.32 16.23 14.02 17.74 19.55 20.34 23.21 22.05 22.08 19.26 16.46 13.05 18.06
39 23.02 24.52 16.49 16.51 14.26 18.02 19.88 20.64 23.54 22.39 22.30 19.44 16.69 13.26 18.35
40 23.21 24.81 16.69 16.76 14.52 18.31 20.17 20.59 23.96 22.69 22.50 19.63 16.90 13.44 18.46
41 23.50 25.11 16.89 17.01 14.72 18.57 20.46 19.90 24.38 23.05 22.69 19.81 17.11 13.63
42 23.75 25.35 17.02 17.26 14.91 18.82 20.74 20.12 24.70 23.41 23.01 19.97 17.31 13.35
(i)Cumulative gross losses declined in month 34 as two transactions with relatively high losses paid off in month 33. (ii)Cumulative gross losses declined in months 40 and 41 as some high loss transactions paid off in months 39 and 40. (iii)Beginning in 2016, includes AmeriCredit and SDART transactions not rated by S&P Global Ratings. Source: S&P Global Ratings.

Table 14

Prime 60-plus-day delinquencies (%)(i)
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016(ii) 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024
No. of deals 31 37 26 28 20 31 23 29 21 29 33 35 40 31 33 40 43 15 13 14
Initial collateral balance (bil. $) 49.02 53.20 41.25 33.45 22.77 40.72 27.93 31.22 24.03 36.23 41.35 44.25 50.99 41.74 45.08 52.87 71.15 21.05 18.77 17.83
Month
1 0.04 0.06 0.04 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.09 0.06 0.07
2 0.18 0.15 0.12 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.08 0.09 0.10 0.11 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.09 0.09 0.11 0.14 0.17 0.15 0.12
3 0.26 0.20 0.18 0.10 0.09 0.09 0.13 0.13 0.15 0.17 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.13 0.14 0.17 0.21 0.22 0.26 0.19
4 0.31 0.25 0.21 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.18 0.15 0.19 0.20 0.19 0.17 0.19 0.14 0.17 0.21 0.25 0.27 0.32 0.23
5 0.32 0.30 0.24 0.15 0.13 0.14 0.20 0.18 0.21 0.23 0.22 0.20 0.22 0.16 0.20 0.25 0.29 0.30 0.35 0.27
6 0.31 0.33 0.25 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.22 0.20 0.22 0.24 0.23 0.22 0.24 0.17 0.23 0.29 0.32 0.35 0.41 0.30
7 0.30 0.35 0.26 0.18 0.17 0.17 0.24 0.22 0.24 0.26 0.26 0.23 0.25 0.17 0.26 0.31 0.36 0.38 0.44 0.29
8 0.31 0.41 0.29 0.18 0.19 0.19 0.25 0.24 0.27 0.28 0.26 0.25 0.27 0.19 0.28 0.35 0.39 0.44 0.46
9 0.33 0.43 0.31 0.20 0.19 0.21 0.27 0.25 0.30 0.31 0.28 0.26 0.28 0.18 0.30 0.36 0.41 0.46 0.47
10 0.36 0.43 0.32 0.21 0.23 0.23 0.29 0.26 0.31 0.33 0.32 0.28 0.30 0.19 0.35 0.41 0.44 0.47 0.49
11 0.41 0.45 0.33 0.22 0.26 0.26 0.32 0.26 0.33 0.34 0.33 0.30 0.31 0.20 0.38 0.44 0.46 0.49
12 0.47 0.50 0.33 0.25 0.26 0.27 0.34 0.28 0.34 0.35 0.33 0.32 0.33 0.20 0.42 0.46 0.49 0.49
13 0.48 0.52 0.37 0.26 0.26 0.28 0.35 0.31 0.37 0.36 0.34 0.35 0.32 0.22 0.44 0.51 0.50 0.52
14 0.50 0.54 0.39 0.26 0.26 0.29 0.38 0.32 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.36 0.33 0.24 0.47 0.54 0.52
15 0.57 0.57 0.40 0.28 0.28 0.32 0.40 0.35 0.38 0.39 0.38 0.37 0.33 0.25 0.48 0.55 0.55
16 0.60 0.60 0.43 0.31 0.30 0.34 0.42 0.38 0.42 0.41 0.39 0.37 0.32 0.26 0.51 0.58 0.56
17 0.61 0.62 0.44 0.31 0.33 0.35 0.46 0.37 0.44 0.44 0.41 0.38 0.32 0.28 0.54 0.60
18 0.63 0.64 0.46 0.32 0.33 0.35 0.45 0.39 0.44 0.44 0.42 0.42 0.32 0.28 0.55 0.60
19 0.66 0.66 0.48 0.33 0.35 0.37 0.46 0.40 0.45 0.44 0.42 0.42 0.32 0.30 0.56 0.62
20 0.69 0.70 0.50 0.35 0.37 0.37 0.50 0.44 0.49 0.45 0.42 0.41 0.33 0.33 0.56 0.63
21 0.72 0.66 0.52 0.35 0.38 0.41 0.49 0.45 0.51 0.45 0.43 0.43 0.33 0.33 0.56 0.66
22 0.76 0.65 0.55 0.38 0.42 0.45 0.51 0.43 0.52 0.49 0.45 0.40 0.32 0.36 0.60 0.69
23 0.79 0.66 0.55 0.40 0.44 0.47 0.56 0.45 0.55 0.51 0.46 0.40 0.33 0.37 0.63 0.71
24 0.85 0.69 0.55 0.42 0.46 0.47 0.58 0.45 0.55 0.50 0.46 0.41 0.34 0.38 0.65 0.72
25 0.86 0.71 0.58 0.43 0.46 0.46 0.60 0.48 0.55 0.50 0.47 0.40 0.35 0.40 0.69 0.74
26 0.88 0.71 0.60 0.44 0.46 0.48 0.62 0.49 0.59 0.51 0.48 0.42 0.35 0.42 0.71 0.74
27 0.93 0.75 0.64 0.48 0.47 0.51 0.65 0.52 0.60 0.52 0.48 0.43 0.35 0.41 0.73 0.75
28 0.94 0.76 0.66 0.49 0.51 0.54 0.73 0.55 0.67 0.56 0.51 0.40 0.38 0.44 0.77 0.78
29 0.96 0.80 0.66 0.51 0.52 0.54 0.74 0.56 0.68 0.58 0.53 0.41 0.38 0.45 0.81
30 0.91 0.83 0.69 0.52 0.48 0.55 0.72 0.57 0.66 0.56 0.55 0.40 0.40 0.45 0.81
31 0.91 0.86 0.73 0.55 0.55 0.56 0.77 0.58 0.68 0.57 0.55 0.40 0.43 0.49 0.82
32 0.95 0.89 0.63 0.53 0.58 0.57 0.78 0.59 0.70 0.58 0.55 0.42 0.46 0.49 0.83
33 0.97 0.91 0.69 0.57 0.62 0.62 0.79 0.62 0.72 0.60 0.56 0.39 0.47 0.48 0.83
34 1.02 0.89 0.70 0.59 0.66 0.64 0.80 0.63 0.75 0.64 0.55 0.40 0.50 0.51 0.89
35 1.06 0.92 0.72 0.63 0.68 0.67 0.86 0.63 0.77 0.64 0.54 0.42 0.50 0.55 0.91
36 1.13 0.87 0.72 0.67 0.65 0.66 0.87 0.65 0.78 0.64 0.55 0.41 0.51 0.54 0.92
37 1.16 1.03 0.90 0.69 0.78 0.64 0.55 0.44 0.56 0.57 0.95
38 1.16 1.05 0.93 0.68 0.81 0.68 0.55 0.46 0.56 0.60 0.93
39 1.21 1.09 0.96 0.72 0.74 0.71 0.56 0.45 0.61 0.62 0.93
(i)We extended the reporting period for the prime 2013 and subsequent vintages to 39 months from 36 to account for the lengthening of loan terms. (ii)Beginning in 2016, we included data from transactions not rated by S&P Global Ratings. Source: S&P Global Ratings.

Table 15

Subprime 60-plus-day delinquencies (%)(i)
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024
No. of deals 19 4 2 14 15 26 26 29 29 38 33 42 39 35 41 40 45 12 14 7
Initial collateral balance (bil. $) 17.35 2.52 1.13 10.83 6.82 14.03 13.68 14.53 18.63 22.32 20.46 27.26 25.41 25.92 38.36 34.06 31.5 9.74 12.40 5.11
Month
1 0.04 0.06 0.05 0.10 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.11 0.06 0.10 0.17 0.11 0.10 0.12 0.19 0.15 0.09 0.17 0.13 0.10
2 0.64 0.69 1.22 1.07 0.54 0.67 0.61 0.89 1.07 1.09 1.30 1.04 0.84 0.69 0.96 1.35 0.87 0.99 0.92 1.10
3 1.42 1.51 1.42 1.74 1.04 1.47 1.47 1.78 2.29 2.06 2.72 2.53 2.05 1.47 2.02 2.88 2.08 2.09 2.04 2.50
4 2.09 1.82 1.51 1.86 1.25 1.97 2.08 2.29 2.97 2.64 3.44 3.31 2.82 1.93 2.67 3.77 2.82 2.80 2.62 3.48
5 2.44 1.85 1.64 1.97 1.36 2.33 2.49 2.59 3.20 2.90 3.70 3.53 3.24 2.00 3.04 4.27 3.21 3.40 3.23 4.23
6 2.61 1.87 1.68 2.10 1.24 2.37 2.58 2.87 3.24 3.03 3.68 3.67 3.51 2.10 3.34 4.59 3.58 3.95 3.56 4.60
7 2.82 2.24 2.07 2.38 1.32 2.24 2.47 3.03 3.36 3.28 3.61 3.77 3.60 2.18 3.57 4.64 3.83 4.21 3.92 4.61
8 2.97 2.60 1.35 2.58 1.50 2.38 2.59 3.27 3.61 3.48 3.69 3.85 3.57 2.29 3.83 4.67 4.06 4.50 4.30
9 3.03 2.79 1.04 2.61 1.72 2.62 2.92 3.46 3.99 3.78 3.91 3.95 3.57 2.44 4.09 4.80 4.27 4.83 4.37
10 3.13 2.75 1.24 2.54 1.93 2.98 3.26 3.60 4.24 4.00 4.19 4.13 3.59 2.54 4.27 5.02 4.35 5.05 4.24
11 3.25 2.57 1.52 2.50 2.04 3.34 3.45 3.83 4.37 4.00 4.58 4.33 3.70 2.72 4.52 5.23 4.50 5.24
12 3.32 2.45 1.76 2.75 2.14 3.47 3.58 4.01 4.30 4.16 4.90 4.54 3.74 2.93 4.85 5.50 4.72 5.41
13 3.34 2.55 1.75 3.05 2.40 3.43 3.66 4.19 4.45 4.42 4.97 4.86 3.78 3.10 5.12 5.64 4.90
14 3.65 2.57 2.40 3.30 2.41 3.52 3.79 4.27 4.78 4.43 4.99 5.09 3.78 3.28 5.39 5.81 5.26
15 4.00 2.84 1.75 3.52 2.56 3.71 3.94 4.58 5.14 4.49 5.18 5.16 3.82 3.43 5.65 6.11 5.46
16 4.15 2.82 1.74 3.58 2.58 3.88 4.30 4.75 5.44 4.79 5.34 5.29 3.76 3.55 5.78 6.31 5.60
17 4.37 2.30 1.86 3.64 2.49 4.14 4.53 4.79 5.54 4.70 5.49 5.37 3.64 3.69 5.83 6.49 5.79
18 4.45 2.25 1.88 3.73 2.35 4.13 4.52 4.85 5.57 4.79 5.62 5.35 3.54 3.87 6.01 6.67
19 4.55 2.42 2.47 3.94 2.40 4.16 4.47 4.80 5.49 4.88 5.72 5.33 3.58 4.02 6.00 6.64
20 4.47 2.64 1.56 4.04 2.57 4.19 4.47 4.89 5.54 4.93 5.82 5.15 3.65 4.20 6.04 6.62
21 4.66 2.82 1.23 4.03 2.80 4.28 4.57 5.00 5.69 5.09 5.83 5.00 3.64 4.33 6.11 6.69
22 4.74 2.53 1.26 3.92 3.00 4.46 4.62 5.03 5.74 5.28 5.89 4.80 3.67 4.37 6.09 6.67
23 4.57 2.30 1.43 4.08 2.97 4.58 4.57 5.15 5.71 5.22 5.97 4.67 3.68 4.53 6.17 6.80
24 4.56 2.11 1.66 4.42 3.17 4.63 4.62 5.34 5.56 5.23 6.06 4.51 3.77 4.78 6.30 6.90
25 4.42 2.22 1.77 4.71 3.30 4.67 4.88 5.34 5.60 5.44 6.13 4.40 3.79 4.92 6.46 6.94
26 4.54 2.33 2.16 4.94 3.32 4.62 4.98 5.38 5.74 5.41 6.16 4.37 3.97 5.06 6.62 7.06
27 4.62 2.60 1.72 5.00 3.43 4.64 5.00 5.50 6.13 5.39 6.21 4.37 4.07 5.15 6.86 7.23
28 4.77 2.70 1.70 5.10 3.29 4.84 5.26 5.55 6.31 5.40 6.31 4.29 4.34 5.25 6.94 7.42
29 4.93 2.04 2.00 5.29 3.21 4.90 5.53 5.80 6.26 5.38 6.40 4.12 4.54 5.22 7.00
30 4.80 1.99 1.96 5.40 2.90 5.05 5.58 5.84 6.44 5.28 6.48 4.02 4.63 5.40 7.15
31 4.82 2.20 2.69 5.56 2.84 5.18 5.63 5.87 6.31 5.67 6.60 3.97 4.84 5.37 7.18
32 4.73 2.41 1.60 5.66 3.14 5.24 5.70 6.18 6.24 5.83 6.42 4.04 5.04 5.34 7.23
33 4.69 2.83 1.25 5.65 3.48 4.98 5.96 6.24 6.32 6.11 6.18 4.08 5.14 5.42 7.24
34 4.73 2.48 1.30 5.57 3.66 5.23 5.92 6.27 6.52 6.08 5.94 4.02 5.30 5.38 7.25
35 4.49 2.26 1.68 5.67 3.64 5.31 5.96 6.51 6.51 6.05 5.73 4.11 5.48 5.54 7.41
36 4.41 2.12 1.81 5.99 3.73 5.47 5.86 6.56 6.50 6.05 5.54 4.16 5.61 5.75 7.52
37 4.34 2.29 2.02 6.46 3.77 5.55 6.17 6.57 6.51 6.22 5.22 4.29 5.81 5.79 7.56
38 4.30 2.31 2.90 6.67 3.79 5.74 6.36 6.62 6.60 6.31 5.18 4.52 5.96 5.86 7.89
39 4.40 2.69 2.48 6.70 3.97 5.99 6.57 6.69 6.81 6.34 5.17 4.71 6.05 5.83 7.89
40 4.52 2.80 2.17 6.76 4.03 5.90 6.89 6.61 7.23 6.41 4.83 4.96 6.32 5.90 8.08
41 4.71 1.97 2.24 7.10 4.04 6.12 7.16 7.14 7.57 6.66 4.65 5.00 6.35 5.89
42 4.62 2.03 2.09 6.96 3.62 6.23 7.30 7.01 7.22 6.68 4.67 5.17 6.39 5.66
(i)Beginning in 2016, includes AmeriCredit and SDART transactions not rated by S&P Global Ratings. Source: S&P Global Ratings.

Table 16

Prime cumulative recoveries (%)(i)
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016(ii) 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024
No. of deals 31 37 26 28 20 31 23 29 21 29 33 35 40 31 33 40 43 15 13 14
Initial collateral balance (bil. $) 49.02 53.20 41.25 33.45 22.77 40.72 27.93 31.22 24.03 36.23 41.35 44.25 50.99 41.74 45.08 52.87 71.15 21.05 18.77 17.83
Month
1 27.98 0.00 23.32 19.68 21.47 20.28 18.61 31.98 26.35 25.57 16.46 26.76 35.00 27.48 29.76 0.00 23.80 2.03 32.62 29.04
2 49.69 43.02 40.43 47.24 65.16 59.19 57.05 54.08 40.70 43.19 41.64 49.03 44.76 46.40 46.08 34.62 36.41 38.68 35.90 28.96
3 47.75 41.67 42.50 48.71 63.52 56.24 53.60 54.69 39.78 42.03 42.47 47.08 47.60 46.98 44.72 37.63 37.19 34.94 37.03 28.98
4 44.53 40.73 42.09 48.33 60.04 54.66 47.95 50.42 41.08 39.93 41.61 44.95 45.13 43.16 44.25 34.05 34.92 34.84 39.78 31.56
5 44.98 41.42 44.01 48.39 60.63 55.15 46.94 50.07 42.86 41.09 42.14 46.63 44.14 42.55 46.60 35.97 37.00 36.86 39.34 33.93
6 45.67 41.72 46.10 50.04 60.98 56.11 48.71 50.38 43.52 42.71 43.46 47.21 44.04 45.18 48.07 36.59 39.15 37.89 40.25 35.65
7 46.28 42.13 47.29 51.74 61.48 56.68 49.14 52.08 44.53 44.07 44.74 48.13 44.58 47.60 48.27 38.39 39.76 39.75 42.66 37.79
8 47.28 42.85 48.22 52.86 61.96 57.18 51.82 52.89 45.68 45.80 45.71 49.07 45.94 49.53 49.70 41.63 40.82 40.60 42.60
9 47.46 43.53 49.09 54.60 62.30 56.80 53.33 53.37 47.04 46.85 46.86 49.77 46.71 51.78 50.64 44.26 41.74 41.32 43.29
10 47.34 44.19 49.84 55.52 62.95 56.76 53.60 53.88 47.38 47.08 47.48 50.24 48.25 54.04 52.27 45.26 43.06 41.34 44.35
11 47.05 44.99 50.88 56.31 63.01 57.42 54.19 54.71 47.57 47.94 48.63 50.74 48.03 55.44 52.73 45.96 43.94 41.84
12 46.96 45.26 51.66 57.02 63.29 57.98 54.79 55.30 48.51 48.28 49.22 51.41 48.30 56.90 53.21 45.95 45.30 42.43
13 46.94 45.79 52.29 57.84 63.54 58.55 54.89 56.05 49.68 49.01 49.57 51.83 49.38 58.24 53.38 46.73 46.02 43.26
14 46.85 46.48 52.97 58.10 64.16 58.60 54.94 56.21 50.05 49.64 49.98 52.11 49.79 59.07 53.48 47.68 46.66
15 46.62 47.11 53.61 58.77 64.35 58.85 55.21 56.22 50.34 50.27 50.61 52.42 50.77 60.20 53.58 48.23 47.33
16 46.56 47.66 54.07 59.25 64.55 59.19 55.55 56.48 50.95 50.25 50.96 52.44 51.57 60.87 54.09 48.73 47.90
17 46.43 48.18 54.70 59.83 64.73 59.23 55.70 56.73 51.38 50.66 51.49 52.67 52.32 61.22 54.76 48.96
18 46.44 48.71 55.17 60.24 64.53 59.45 55.73 56.79 51.70 50.62 51.90 52.88 53.26 61.59 55.06 49.28
19 46.57 49.10 55.65 60.93 64.42 59.81 55.97 56.84 51.84 51.04 52.24 52.95 54.12 62.05 55.02 49.63
20 46.78 49.47 56.09 61.35 64.75 59.98 56.51 56.96 52.19 51.48 52.66 53.00 54.95 62.29 55.04 50.20
21 46.89 49.90 56.45 61.72 65.07 60.09 56.81 57.03 52.26 51.77 52.87 53.06 55.70 62.76 55.40 50.41
22 47.13 50.36 56.99 61.92 65.23 60.42 57.17 57.22 52.61 52.00 53.09 53.06 56.37 63.09 55.83 50.81
23 47.23 50.69 57.43 62.29 65.24 60.56 57.23 57.44 52.70 52.19 53.24 53.50 56.93 63.46 56.01 51.13
24 47.49 51.11 58.01 62.61 65.43 60.57 57.45 57.63 52.86 52.32 53.41 53.66 57.67 63.60 56.28 51.23
25 47.77 51.48 58.47 62.81 65.61 60.77 57.42 58.02 53.21 52.60 53.54 54.01 58.25 63.77 56.51 51.66
26 48.04 51.86 58.82 63.14 65.61 60.97 57.66 58.23 53.48 52.77 53.76 54.30 58.73 63.98 56.72 51.95
27 48.24 52.25 59.11 63.35 65.67 61.26 58.02 58.47 53.52 53.09 54.01 54.63 59.36 63.97 56.91 52.40
28 48.46 52.56 59.44 63.71 65.84 61.47 58.17 58.64 53.80 53.27 54.25 54.94 59.71 63.82 57.08 52.73
29 48.71 52.83 59.74 63.90 66.03 61.69 58.18 58.74 53.95 53.46 54.48 55.38 60.17 63.78 57.51
30 48.93 53.12 60.09 64.11 66.12 61.88 58.38 58.84 54.20 53.69 54.58 55.96 60.63 64.04 57.89
31 49.23 53.39 60.47 64.33 66.38 62.19 58.55 58.95 54.34 53.88 54.61 56.54 60.91 64.24 58.11
32 49.51 53.67 60.84 64.40 66.49 62.39 58.87 59.14 54.63 54.21 54.67 57.03 61.25 64.52 58.45
33 49.79 53.80 61.06 65.35 66.55 62.71 59.05 59.18 54.91 54.47 54.70 57.43 61.55 64.84 58.75
34 50.05 54.07 61.23 65.65 66.71 62.79 59.50 59.20 55.25 54.70 54.76 57.83 61.73 65.24 58.97
35 50.26 54.34 61.51 65.95 66.75 62.96 59.61 59.29 55.66 54.83 54.89 58.28 62.09 65.35 59.37
36 50.46 54.56 61.61 66.11 66.85 63.12 59.85 59.52 56.00 55.03 55.14 58.62 62.32 65.63 59.64
37 50.66 54.26 59.98 59.72 56.35 55.25 55.37 59.00 62.56 65.76 59.65
38 50.87 54.49 60.22 59.85 56.61 55.51 55.62 59.40 62.78 65.96 59.87
39 51.08 54.71 60.74 60.10 56.87 55.71 55.84 59.80 63.03 66.16 60.18
(i)Starting this month, we have extended the performance data for the recent vintages (2013 onwards) to 39 months to account for the lengthening of loan terms. (ii)Beginning in 2016, we included data from transactions not rated by S&P Global Ratings. Source: S&P Global Ratings.

Table 17

Subprime cumulative recoveries (%)
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016(i) 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024
No. of deals 19 4 2 14 15 26 26 29 29 38 33 42 39 35 41 40 45 12 14 7
Initial collateral balance (bil. $) 17.35 2.52 1.13 10.83 6.82 14.03 13.68 14.53 18.63 22.32 20.46 27.26 25.41 25.92 38.36 34.06 31.5 9.74 12.40 5.11
Month
1 50.45 4.68 26.37 13.24 38.17 34.26 48.95 26.51 19.69 15.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2 52.67 16.20 33.03 40.00 48.39 49.13 50.63 44.56 42.02 31.09 27.69 35.86 37.57 29.60 35.57 28.04 21.62 28.13 37.22 31.42
3 46.95 29.34 37.37 41.47 47.18 52.07 55.86 45.53 43.70 36.42 33.07 40.27 39.40 31.98 34.67 32.47 29.33 32.56 38.80 37.34
4 38.89 27.91 35.33 35.15 42.05 42.02 42.71 38.13 37.37 33.71 29.27 36.51 33.91 25.98 29.38 23.21 22.71 22.52 25.08 22.66
5 36.34 28.40 35.45 37.94 42.98 41.06 42.01 37.93 36.74 33.13 30.05 37.49 34.15 28.40 30.60 23.93 23.22 23.36 25.49 21.81
6 35.89 31.83 34.81 38.97 44.45 43.35 45.07 38.11 36.19 33.07 31.05 37.06 34.20 31.03 32.34 24.66 24.27 24.16 26.44 23.34
7 36.19 32.88 35.59 39.61 45.43 44.30 45.17 38.54 36.08 33.38 31.32 36.04 33.26 34.06 34.27 26.65 25.47 25.31 27.18 26.13
8 36.63 32.92 36.98 40.39 45.82 44.39 45.00 39.35 36.71 34.22 32.71 36.03 33.66 36.85 36.65 28.74 27.04 26.97 28.05
9 36.59 33.43 38.30 40.34 45.82 44.24 44.87 40.07 37.59 34.88 33.84 37.17 34.80 39.39 38.64 30.51 28.76 28.28 29.16
10 37.35 33.91 39.23 41.16 45.64 44.21 44.88 40.84 38.47 35.43 34.90 38.34 35.66 41.55 40.16 31.89 30.09 29.45 31.00
11 37.65 34.37 39.72 42.06 45.70 43.96 45.01 41.31 39.06 36.08 35.76 39.06 36.41 41.82 41.56 32.93 31.07 29.92
12 37.83 34.69 40.13 42.55 45.90 43.85 44.95 41.62 39.64 36.53 36.37 39.88 37.50 43.18 42.49 33.76 31.84 30.40
13 38.19 35.11 39.93 42.96 46.14 44.19 45.17 42.03 40.32 36.89 37.01 40.16 38.38 44.38 43.22 34.63 32.54
14 38.40 35.30 40.10 43.14 46.16 44.42 45.56 42.36 40.82 37.29 37.55 40.57 39.05 45.58 43.82 35.18 33.06
15 38.47 35.64 40.15 43.33 46.12 44.69 45.88 42.70 41.22 37.59 38.09 40.98 39.66 46.54 44.28 35.55 33.42
16 38.35 35.95 40.70 43.63 46.41 45.00 46.05 42.98 41.28 37.78 38.52 41.20 40.15 47.24 44.63 35.90 33.77
17 38.27 36.44 40.81 43.76 46.81 45.04 46.08 43.02 41.35 38.13 38.96 41.38 40.97 48.10 44.91 36.17 33.95
18 38.16 36.70 40.95 44.05 47.14 45.32 46.09 43.18 41.54 38.34 39.25 41.39 41.95 48.79 45.12 36.31
19 37.99 36.91 40.97 44.45 47.36 45.45 46.14 43.34 41.59 38.60 39.49 41.44 42.85 49.49 45.39 36.53
20 37.93 37.02 41.29 44.79 47.45 45.62 46.34 43.41 41.72 38.78 39.83 41.53 43.68 50.07 45.71 36.67
21 37.81 37.20 41.68 45.16 47.46 45.73 46.46 43.46 41.88 38.89 40.13 41.70 44.44 50.57 45.97 36.89
22 37.72 37.29 42.01 45.63 47.53 45.84 46.65 43.59 41.96 38.98 40.44 41.86 45.18 51.05 46.22 37.08
23 37.74 37.47 42.00 45.90 47.68 45.98 46.82 43.67 42.06 39.14 40.65 42.12 45.82 51.51 46.46 37.26
24 37.70 37.64 42.24 46.11 47.83 46.01 47.01 43.72 42.17 39.25 40.81 42.37 46.37 51.85 46.64 37.41
25 37.87 37.79 42.37 46.21 47.84 46.95 47.64 43.78 42.27 39.33 40.97 42.59 46.91 52.08 46.84 37.50
26 38.04 37.90 42.49 46.36 47.84 47.04 47.83 43.73 42.40 39.42 41.16 42.88 47.42 52.22 46.98 37.61
27 38.23 38.01 42.68 46.60 47.82 47.13 47.84 43.79 42.45 39.48 41.33 43.12 47.86 52.34 47.04 37.70
28 38.31 38.06 42.66 46.73 47.85 47.36 47.97 43.89 42.46 39.57 41.42 43.33 48.28 52.61 47.10 37.72
29 38.38 38.21 42.78 46.80 47.99 47.41 47.92 44.03 42.48 39.60 41.47 43.66 48.69 52.71 47.14
30 38.49 38.38 42.85 47.11 48.18 47.67 47.85 44.04 42.68 39.81 41.52 44.02 48.96 52.77 47.15
31 38.58 38.45 42.90 47.40 48.31 47.63 47.93 44.06 42.67 40.09 41.67 44.37 49.29 52.96 47.17
32 38.79 38.54 43.03 47.68 48.44 47.66 47.90 44.24 42.66 40.13 41.67 44.73 49.63 53.08 47.17
33 38.98 38.59 43.16 48.11 48.52 47.76 47.84 44.23 42.67 40.15 41.68 45.39 49.84 53.33 47.20
34 39.07 38.62 43.26 48.17 49.68 48.08 47.76 44.21 42.67 40.21 41.71 45.73 50.30 53.48 47.21
35 39.20 38.75 43.50 48.19 49.72 48.18 47.73 44.40 42.67 40.27 41.80 46.07 50.56 53.58 47.24
36 39.33 38.86 43.59 48.22 49.72 48.23 47.74 44.33 42.87 40.29 41.88 46.40 50.75 53.65 47.30
37 39.49 38.94 43.69 48.27 49.68 48.24 47.73 44.33 42.91 40.30 42.01 46.65 50.87 53.70 47.31
38 39.63 39.01 43.77 48.22 49.70 48.34 47.72 44.26 42.92 40.30 42.14 46.91 50.99 53.76 47.30
39 39.74 39.06 43.81 48.29 49.70 48.28 47.68 44.24 43.09 40.31 42.23 47.17 51.20 53.79 47.29
40 39.95 39.14 43.85 48.39 49.72 48.38 47.04 44.33 43.11 40.34 42.33 47.39 51.28 53.79 47.28
41 40.04 39.24 43.88 48.38 49.85 48.37 47.60 44.58 43.29 40.46 42.48 47.63 51.34 53.81
42 40.13 39.35 43.95 48.38 49.90 48.37 47.53 44.68 43.25 40.64 43.01 47.83 51.43 54.00
43 43.69 48.02 51.55 54.27
(i)Beginning in 2016 Includes SDART and AmeriCredit transactions not rated by S&P Global Ratings.

Appendix III: Auto Tracker Frequently Asked Questions

How do you define prime auto loan ABS?

We generally categorize prime auto loan ABS transactions as those backed by loan pools with initial ECNLs of 3.25% or less and average FICO scores of 700 or higher. We include CarMax and Carvana in this segment.

How do you define subprime auto loan ABS?

We generally categorize subprime auto loan ABS transactions as those backed by loan pools with initial ECNLs of at least 7.5%, average FICO scores of less than 620, and annual percentage rates that exceed 14.0%.

How do you calculate the monthly net loss rate?

The monthly net loss rate is annualized. It equals each transaction's net loss rate weighted by the transaction's ending pool balance for the current month over the aggregate ending pool balance of all transactions included in the index. We only allow a transaction to enter the composite starting in its fourth month outstanding. Transactions usually have zero or low losses during their first three months, which dilute the composite figures.

How do you calculate the monthly recovery rate?

We calculate recoveries by taking the recovery amount reported (which typically includes all recoveries, such as disposition proceeds, post-disposition proceeds, and any other reported recoveries) over the gross loss amount for the current month. Then we weight each transaction's recovery percentage by the transaction's ending pool balance for the current month over the aggregate ending pool balance of all transactions included in the index. We only allow a transaction to enter the index starting in its fourth month outstanding. During a transaction's first three months, unusually high or low recoveries are reported, leading to a spike in the composite figures.

How do you calculate the monthly 60-plus-day delinquency rate?

We calculate delinquencies by taking each transaction's 60-plus-day delinquency amount over the ending pool balance for the current month. Then we weight each transaction's 60-plus-day delinquency percentage by the transaction's ending pool balance for the current month over the aggregate ending pool balance of all transactions included in the composite. We only allow a transaction to enter the composite starting in its fourth month outstanding. During the transaction's first three months, zero or fewer delinquencies are reported, which dilutes the composite figures.

Related Research

This report does not constitute a rating action.

Primary Credit Analyst:Amy S Martin, New York + 1 (212) 438 2538;
amy.martin@spglobal.com
Secondary Contacts:Jenna Cilento, New York + 1 (212) 438 1533;
jenna.cilento@spglobal.com
Ambika Garg, Chicago + 1 (312) 233 7034;
ambika.garg@spglobal.com
Analytical Manager:Frank J Trick, New York + 1 (212) 438 1108;
frank.trick@spglobal.com
Research Contributor:Kapil Sharma, CRISIL Global Analytical Center, an S&P affiliate, Mumbai

No content (including ratings, credit-related analyses and data, valuations, model, software, or other application or output therefrom) or any part thereof (Content) may be modified, reverse engineered, reproduced, or distributed in any form by any means, or stored in a database or retrieval system, without the prior written permission of Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC or its affiliates (collectively, S&P). The Content shall not be used for any unlawful or unauthorized purposes. S&P and any third-party providers, as well as their directors, officers, shareholders, employees, or agents (collectively S&P Parties) do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, timeliness, or availability of the Content. S&P Parties are not responsible for any errors or omissions (negligent or otherwise), regardless of the cause, for the results obtained from the use of the Content, or for the security or maintenance of any data input by the user. The Content is provided on an “as is” basis. S&P PARTIES DISCLAIM ANY AND ALL EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES, INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, ANY WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE OR USE, FREEDOM FROM BUGS, SOFTWARE ERRORS OR DEFECTS, THAT THE CONTENT’S FUNCTIONING WILL BE UNINTERRUPTED, OR THAT THE CONTENT WILL OPERATE WITH ANY SOFTWARE OR HARDWARE CONFIGURATION. In no event shall S&P Parties be liable to any party for any direct, indirect, incidental, exemplary, compensatory, punitive, special or consequential damages, costs, expenses, legal fees, or losses (including, without limitation, lost income or lost profits and opportunity costs or losses caused by negligence) in connection with any use of the Content even if advised of the possibility of such damages.

Credit-related and other analyses, including ratings, and statements in the Content are statements of opinion as of the date they are expressed and not statements of fact. S&P’s opinions, analyses, and rating acknowledgment decisions (described below) are not recommendations to purchase, hold, or sell any securities or to make any investment decisions, and do not address the suitability of any security. S&P assumes no obligation to update the Content following publication in any form or format. The Content should not be relied on and is not a substitute for the skill, judgment, and experience of the user, its management, employees, advisors, and/or clients when making investment and other business decisions. S&P does not act as a fiduciary or an investment advisor except where registered as such. While S&P has obtained information from sources it believes to be reliable, S&P does not perform an audit and undertakes no duty of due diligence or independent verification of any information it receives. Rating-related publications may be published for a variety of reasons that are not necessarily dependent on action by rating committees, including, but not limited to, the publication of a periodic update on a credit rating and related analyses.

To the extent that regulatory authorities allow a rating agency to acknowledge in one jurisdiction a rating issued in another jurisdiction for certain regulatory purposes, S&P reserves the right to assign, withdraw, or suspend such acknowledgement at any time and in its sole discretion. S&P Parties disclaim any duty whatsoever arising out of the assignment, withdrawal, or suspension of an acknowledgment as well as any liability for any damage alleged to have been suffered on account thereof.

S&P keeps certain activities of its business units separate from each other in order to preserve the independence and objectivity of their respective activities. As a result, certain business units of S&P may have information that is not available to other S&P business units. S&P has established policies and procedures to maintain the confidentiality of certain nonpublic information received in connection with each analytical process.

S&P may receive compensation for its ratings and certain analyses, normally from issuers or underwriters of securities or from obligors. S&P reserves the right to disseminate its opinions and analyses. S&P's public ratings and analyses are made available on its Web sites, www.spglobal.com/ratings (free of charge), and www.ratingsdirect.com (subscription), and may be distributed through other means, including via S&P publications and third-party redistributors. Additional information about our ratings fees is available at www.spglobal.com/usratingsfees.

 

Create a free account to unlock the article.

Gain access to exclusive research, events and more.

Already have an account?    Sign in