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US housing market: Home prices climb to new record high in July

US home prices rose to yet another record high in July, although the overall pace of price appreciation slowed.

The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller US National Home Price NSA Index, covering all nine US census divisions, increased 5.0% year over year in July compared with an annual gain of 5.5% in the previous month.

The 10-City Composite grew 6.8% year over year, down from a 7.4% annual increase the month prior. The 20-City Composite rose 5.9% year over year, down from a 6.5% hike in June.

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Home prices eased with falling mortgage rates and increased housing supply, although inventory remains tight in some regions. In July, the number of homes actively available for sale rose 36.6% year over year, which was the ninth straight month of growth, according to a report by Realtor.com. However, most metros had a lower level of inventory compared with the pre-pandemic years.

"Accounting for seasonality of home purchases, we have witnessed 14 consecutive record highs in our National Index," said Brian Luke, head of commodities, real and digital assets at S&P Dow Jones Indices, in a Sept. 24 release. "The growth has come at a cost, with all but two markets decelerating last month, eight markets seeing monthly declines, and the slowest annual growth nationally in 2024."

On a monthly basis, the US National Index rose 0.2% after seasonal adjustment in July, equivalent to the monthly rise in June. Both the 20-City Composite and 10-City Composite reported a monthly gain of 0.3%.

New York once more recorded the largest yearly increase among the 20 cities, with an 8.8% rise in July. It was followed by Las Vegas and Los Angeles, which booked annual gains of 8.2% and 7.2%, respectively.

"New York's low-tier index, which includes home values up to $533,000, helped drive that growth with 10.8% annual gains," Luke said.

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US mortgage rates drop to lowest in 1 year

Mortgage rates continued to decline through August and September to lowest levels in more than 12 months.

The average US 30-year fixed-conforming mortgage rate stood at 6.47% on Sept. 24, down 72 basis points from 7.19% on Sept. 22, 2023.

The average US 15-year fixed-conforming mortgage rate was 5.88% on Sept. 24, down 78 basis points from 6.66% on Sept. 22, 2023.

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Home sales fall in August

The decline in mortgage rates did not help improve home sales in August.

Existing home sales fell 2.5% in August to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.86 million units, according to data from the National Association of Realtors (NAR). Sales dropped 4.2% year over year.

Three of the four US regions posted month-over-month declines in existing home sales. Year over year, sales fell in three regions. The South posted the highest declines both on a monthly and yearly basis, at 3.9% and 6.0%, respectively.

"Home sales were disappointing again in August, but the recent development of lower mortgage rates coupled with increasing inventory is a powerful combination that will provide the environment for sales to move higher in future months," said Lawrence Yun, chief economist at NAR, in a Sept. 19 release.

The median price of an existing home rose 3.1% year over year to $416,700. This marks the 14th straight month of year-over-year home price increases, the release said.

New home sales nationwide stood at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 716,000 units in August, down 4.7% from the previous month but up 9.8% from the year-ago period, according to data from the US Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development.

Sales in the Northeast declined 27.3% from the previous month and 33.3% from the previous year to 24,000 units, the biggest decline among all US regions. The South was the only region to post both a month-over-month and year-over-year rise in new home sales.

Top mortgage lender

Total residential mortgages originated in the year through June was $1.017 trillion, representing a decline of 0.9% year over year.

Pontiac, Mich.-based UWM Holdings Corp. remained the top US residential mortgage lender with $41.90 billion in mortgages originated in the year through June, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence data.

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