Blog — 2 May, 2023

Insight Weekly: Utilities face headwinds; S&P 500 dividend hikes likely; dollar poised for rally

Today is Tuesday, May 02, 2023, and here’s your weekly selection of essential intelligence on financial markets and the global economy from S&P Global Market Intelligence. Subscribe to be notified of each new Insight Weekly.

In this edition of Insight Weekly, we take a close look at the earnings forecasts for global utilities in the first quarter of 2023. Analysts expect few US multi-utilities to report year-over-year earnings growth as the sector grapples with the strongest headwinds in years, including warmer-than-normal first-quarter weather, higher interest expense and inflationary pressure. In Europe, utilities' earnings are expected to come in strong in the first quarter but stay below the 2022 records. Electricity and gas prices have declined as industrial shutdowns and a mild heating season lowered demand during the quarter, ultimately reducing power production in Europe's five largest markets — Germany, France, the UK, Italy and Spain, according to S&P Global Commodity Insights.

Dozens of S&P 500 companies will raise their regular dividend payments in the coming months, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence forecasts. Companies took advantage of near-zero interest rates during the COVID-19 pandemic to keep financing costs manageable, said Ryan Boyd, Market Intelligence head of business development for the Americas.

The US dollar is primed for new strength after largely falling over the past several months. As inflation remains well above the Federal Reserve's 2% target, the central bank is increasingly expected to keep rates high for much longer than previously anticipated, a shift that will likely boost the dollar in the coming weeks.

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Written and compiled by Waqas Azeem

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