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Financial and Capital Markets

Around the world, bankers, asset managers, corporate finance professionals and insurers must calibrate their investment and lending decisions against a background of economic uncertainty, geopolitical unrest and interdependent industry dynamics. Financial & Capital Markets assists you in strategic planning as well as optimizing your investment and loan portfolios with our award-winning economic forecasts and analysis.

Make better decisions by gaining cutting-edge insights into future risks and opportunities. Simplify and quantify country, sovereign and sector-specific exposure with risk ratings for the world’s largest markets. Anticipate key drivers of your firm’s success by simulating best and worst-case scenarios. Protect your assets with the ability to map political and violent risks as they happen, all around the world. Leverage our database of 40,000 energy industry transactions from the past 20 years – along with detailed analysis of 70 global plays – to screen asset opportunities.

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Our Capabilities

Capital Markets

Optimize your investment portfolios with historical economic data and award-winning forecasts across multiple asset classes. IHS Financial and Capital Markets has more than 50 years of forecasting expertise, underpinned by a rigorous methodology that ensures alignment and accuracy throughout all of our forecasts.

  • Use our Global Link Model, which integrates 68 country markets representing 95% of global GDP, to quantify the impact of changes in key drivers – such as interest rates, capital flows, or energy prices – on your company’s performance
  • Assess a country’s financial health and stability with outlooks that span up to 30 years and cover as many as 500 time series per country
  • Support investment, trading, and credit decisions with our country risk and sovereign risk ratings for more than 200 countries
  • Calibrate your risk exposure to specific industries, effectively allocate resources and anticipate winning markets with global assessments and 20-year forecasts for 95 industries in 75 countries
Project Finance

Evaluate foreign direct investment with a holistic view of the economic and risk environment in more than 200 countries.

  • Mitigate investment risk with country risk ratings that quantify your exposures using a 0.1-10 logarithmic scale across political, economic, legal, tax, operational and security domains
  • Evaluate default potential for sovereign debt and identify short-term opportunities with transparent sovereign risk ratings
  • Monitor project risk in real time with more than 2,500 intelligence events published weekly and location-specific intelligence that goes beyond generic country risk scores to expose any potential threats for each 500m2 on the planet
  • Anticipate supply chain interruptions or potential project delays with country reports that detail the six risk score categories, along with daily headline analysis that updates you on risks to the business environment
  • Perform due diligence behind large capital investments with 30-year economic forecasts that can include up to 500 time series per country
Corporate Finance

Drawing upon more than 60 years of IHS Energy field experience, IHS Financial and Capital Markets brings you an objective view of M&A activity in the global energy space.

  • Monitor M&A activity and screen asset acquisition opportunities across the global energy value chain with a database of more than 40,000 energy industry transactions over the past 20 years – benchmarked against commodity prices with key M&A marketplace valuation metrics for all global regions
  • Craft your investment strategy with monthly, quarterly and annual delivery of forward-looking insights and trend analysis on the global upstream transaction market, including mergers, acquisitions and divestitures
  • Determine the drivers of shareholder value, receive objective valuations, and analyze upstream strategy and performance of the world’s leading publicly traded oil and gas companies
  • Analyze company performance – from well results to acreage positions – and resource potential in more than 70 global plays
  • Get exclusive access to our oil and gas analysts who have, on average, 15 years of industry experience and are available to discuss their research with our clients
Insurance

Anticipate risk to your entire book of business with a holistic security solution that integrates geo-spatial intelligence, country risk ratings and consistently accurate forecasts.

  • Determine a prospect’s insurability with country risk forecasts that mix threat intelligence and key drivers to project commercial outcomes – harnessing the expertise of 200 in-country analysts and 1,000 tightly managed sources
  • Support underwriting decisions with more than 2,500 intelligence events published weekly and evaluate trends by tapping into a growing database of over 1 million events
  • Visualize political and violent risks to your assets for up to 40,000 locations, down to the 500m2 level, along with analyst briefings and the ability to directly contact a country risk expert with any questions

Forecasting Awards

Lawrence R. Klein Blue Chip Forecasting Award

Chief Economist, Nariman Behravesh, 2017

Macroeconomic Advisers, 1993 & 1995

Consensus Economics

Most accurate forecast for Colombia and Malaysia, 2018 

Most accurate forecast for Australia, Indonesia, and Slovenia, 2016

Most accurate forecast for Thailand, 2015

Most accurate forecast for Canada, Estonia, Romania, Slovenia, and Ukraine, 2014

Most accurate forecast for US, China, Australia, and Estonia, 2013

Bloomberg Markets

Chief Economist, Nariman Behravesh, and his team, ranked first of 77 for the most accurate US GDP forecast in Q1 2015

Chief Economist, Nariman Behravesh, ranked as a top economist for 2009, 2010 & 2011

MarketWatch

#2 top forecaster over 12 months, Oct 2013

Most accurate forecaster, July & Aug 2011, Jan & June 2009, Oct & Nov 2008, & June 2007 

Forecaster of the year, 2009

#2 top forecaster, 2008

Reuters

Reuters Forex poll winner, Sep 2013

#2 Forecaster in Forex poll, 2009

#3 Forecaster in Forex poll, 2008

Reuters Forex poll winner, Sep 2007

USA Today

#2 of top economic forecasters, 2007

Top Economic Forecaster, 2004

The Sunday Times

8th in Annual Ranking of UK Forecasters, 2015

Top 10 in David Smith's Ranking of UK Forecasters 2005

Forecaster of Forecasters in seven-year survey, 2000

The Wall Street Journal

Top Forecaster in 2017 

Ranked in the top 6 in 2003, 2004 & 2006

Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta

Macroeconomic Advisers, Top Private Forecaster, Q1 2016

Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

Macroeconomic Advisers, Best Net Exports Forecast, 2017

Macroeconomic Advisers, Best Industrial Production Forecast, 2017

Macroeconomic Advisers, Best Ten-Year Treasury Rate Forecast, 2017

Macroeconomic Advisers, Best Overall Forecast, 2016

Macroeconomic Advisers, Best Current Dollar GDP Forecast, 2016

Macroeconomic Advisers, Best Inflation Forecast, 2016

National Association for Business Economics

Macroeconomics Advisers, Most Accurate GDP and Treasury Note Yield Forecasts, 2006

Sueddeutsche Zeitung

Ranked 8th for economic forecasts, 2015

FocusEconomics
Best Overall Forecaster – United States – for the 2017 forecast (Awarded 2018)

Customer Success Stories

AIG Makes Informed Geo-Political Risk Selection Decisions to Deliver Greater Value to Clients, Gain Competitive Edge

One of the world’s largest insurance companies expedites risk selection decisions to serve clients better by using best-in-class global information in its internal models. For instance, the firm gave 328 underwriters access to geo-political risk scores for every 500m2 sector of the earth’s surface and risk assessments for 6,400+ terrorist targets in 90 countries.

Learn more about our customer’s success

Resources

Data Commentary/CDX

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