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Default, Transition, and Recovery: 2020 Corporate Defaults Surpass The Full-Year 2019 Tally

The 2020 global corporate default tally has jumped to 119 after 10 issuers defaulted since our last report. In just over five months, the 2020 corporate default tally has surpassed the full-year 2019 total of 118 defaults, led by the U.S. with 78 defaults so far this year. Both Europe and other developed regions have seen a considerable increase in defaults compared with previous years and have either matched or surpassed their full-year tallies in 2017, 2018, and 2019 (see chart 1).

Chart 1

image

This Week's Observations

  • The U.S. leads both this week's default tally and the 2020 default tally with seven and 78, respectively.
  • With 16 defaults so far in 2020, Europe has surpassed its full-year 2019 and 2018 tallies of 15 and 13, respectively (see table 1).
  • By sector, oil and gas and consumer products lead the global default tally, with 19 each, followed by media and entertainment, with 18, and retail and restaurants, with 16 (see chart 3).
  • The 12-month speculative-grade default rate for the U.S. region increased to 4.7% in May 2020 from 4.1% in April 2020.

Chart 2

image

By week, defaults began to pick up in the beginning of April as credit spreads widened and companies at the lower end of the credit spectrum had reduced ability to manage liquidity and were less able to sustain the revenue and economic damage brought on by social distancing measures due to the impact of COVID-19 and oil price dislocations. Since the first week of April, there has been an average of seven defaults per week, compared with a first-quarter weekly average of just two defaults (see chart 2).

Chart 3

image

By sector, oil and gas and consumer products lead the global default tally, with 19 each. The sudden economic recession has led to significant credit deterioration, particularly in the most affected sectors. S&P Global Ratings expects credit measures for some sectors to take until 2022, 2023, and beyond, to fully recover (see "COVID-19 Heat Map: Post-Crisis Credit Recovery Could Take To 2022 And Beyond For Some Sectors," June 24, 2020).

Chart 4

image

Chart 5

image

Table 1

2020 Europe Defaults, With 16, Surpasses The Full-Year 2019 Tally
Region 12-month trailing speculative-grade default rate (%) 2020 year-to-date 2019 year-to-date 2019 Weakest links
U.S. 4.7 78 43 78 424
Emerging market 2.7 16 8 22 50
Europe 2.8 16 7 15 98
Other developed 3.9 9 3 3 28
Global 3.8 119 61 118 600
Note: Trailing-12-month default rates from May 31, 2019 - May 31, 2020, are preliminary and subject to change. Year-to-date data as of June 24, 2020. Weakest link data is as of May 11, 2020. Other developed region includes Australia, Canada, Japan, and New Zealand. Default counts may include confidentially rated issuers. Sources: S&P Global Ratings Research and S&P Global Market Intelligence’s CreditPro®.

Table 2

The 2020 Global Corporate Default Tally Jumps To 119
Date Parent company Country Subsector To From Reason
1/2/2020

Constellis Holdings LLC

U.S. Aerospace and defense SD CC Missed principal payments
1/7/2020

TOMS Shoes LLC

U.S. Consumer products D CCC Distressed exchange
1/9/2020

Moran Foods LLC (SAL Acquisition Corp.)

U.S. Retail/restaurants SD CCC Missed interest payments
1/13/2020

Lecta S.A.

Luxembourg Forest products and building materials SD CC Missed interest payments
1/14/2020

Qinghai Provincial Investment Group Co. Ltd.

China Metals, mining, and steel D CCC- Missed interest payments
1/19/2020

Krystal Co. (The)

U.S. Retail/restaurants D NR Chapter 11
1/21/2020

Panda Green Energy Group Ltd.

Bermuda Utilities SD CC Distressed exchange
1/22/2020

Deoleo S.A.

Spain Consumer products SD CC Distressed exchange/ out-of-court restructuring
1/29/2020

Doncasters Group Ltd.

U.K. Capital goods SD CCC- Distressed exchange/ out-of-court restructuring
1/30/2020

Pinnacle Operating Corp.

U.S. Chemicals, packaging, and environmental services SD CCC Distressed exchange/ out-of-court restructuring
2/7/2020

Commercial Barge Line Co.

U.S. Transportation D CC Chapter 11
2/12/2020

RentPath LLC

U.S. Media and entertainment D NR Chapter 11
2/13/2020

The McClatchy Co.

U.S. Media and entertainment D CC Chapter 11
2/14/2020

Moby SpA

Italy Transportation SD CCC- Distressed exchange/ out-of-court restructuring
2/14/2020

NPC International Inc.

U.S. Retail/restaurants SD CCC- Missed interest payments
2/18/2020

Pier 1 Imports Inc.

U.S. Retail/restaurants D CCC- Chapter 11
2/21/2020

Tunghsu Group Co. Ltd.

China High technology SD CCC- Missed principal and interest payments
2/24/2020

VIP Cinema Holdings Inc.

U.S. Consumer products D CCC- Chapter 11
2/25/2020

Calfrac Well Services Ltd.

Canada Oil and gas SD CC Distressed exchange
2/28/2020

PFS Holding Corp.

U.S. Consumer products SD CCC- Missed interest payments
3/3/2020

Pioneer Energy Services Corp.

U.S. Oil and gas D CCC- Chapter 11
3/9/2020

Bluestem Brands Inc.

U.S. Retail/restaurants D NR Chapter 11
3/12/2020

Ascena Retail Group Inc.

U.S. Consumer products SD CCC Distressed exchange
3/12/2020

Optimas OE Solutions Holding LLC

U.S. Capital goods SD CCC+ Distressed exchange
3/12/2020 Confidential Confidential Metals, mining, and steel SD CCC- Confidential
3/16/2020

Frontier Communications Corp.

U.S. Telecommunications SD CCC- Missed interest payments
3/17/2020

Internap Corp.

U.S. Telecommunications D CCC+ Chapter 11
3/19/2020

Geo Energy Resources Ltd.

Singapore Metals, mining, and steel SD B- Distressed exchange
3/20/2020

Grain Insurance Co. JSC

Kazakhstan Insurance D B Missed interest payments
3/27/2020

Optiv Inc.

U.S. High technology SD CCC+ Distressed exchange
3/27/2020

Yida China Holdings Ltd.

Cayman Islands Homebuilders/real estate companies SD CC Distressed exchange
4/1/2020

PGX Holdings Inc.

U.S. Media and entertainment D CCC Missed principal and interest payments
4/1/2020

Steak n Shake Inc. (Biglari Holdings Inc.)

U.S. Retail/restaurants SD CCC- Distressed exchange
4/1/2020

Whiting Petroleum Corp.

U.S. Oil and gas D CCC+ Chapter 11
4/2/2020

KCA DEUTAG Alpha Ltd.

U.K. Oil and gas SD CCC+ Missed interest payments
4/3/2020

CDS Group

Canada Media and entertainment D CCC- Missed principal and interest payments
4/3/2020

New Millennium Holdco Inc.

U.S. Health care D CC Missed principal and interest payments
4/6/2020

BW Homecare Holdings LLC

U.S. Health care SD CCC Distressed exchange
4/6/2020

FE Investments Ltd. (FE Investments Group Ltd.)

New Zealand Finance companies D CCC Missed interest payments
4/7/2020

Gavilan Resources LLC

U.S. Oil and gas D CCC- Missed interest payments
4/7/2020

Jason Inc.

U.S. Capital goods SD CCC Missed interest payments
4/7/2020

Quorum Health Corp.

U.S. Health care D CCC- Chapter 11
4/7/2020

Speedcast International Ltd.

Australia Telecommunications D CCC Missed principal and interest payments
4/8/2020

North American Lifting Holdings Inc.

U.S. Capital goods SD CCC- Missed interest payments
4/8/2020

SPR Holdings LLC

U.S. Oil and gas D CCC+ Missed interest payments
4/9/2020 Confidential Confidential Media and entertainment SD CC Confidential
4/10/2020

Vestel Elektronik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S.

Turkey High technology SD CCC+ Distressed exchange
4/10/2020 Confidential Confidential Media and entertainment D CCC- Confidential
4/12/2020

Pace Industries Inc.

U.S. Consumer products D NR Chapter 11
4/14/2020

LSC Communications Inc.

U.S. Media and entertainment D CC Chapter 11
4/14/2020

Libbey Inc.

U.S. Consumer products SD CCC Missed interest payments
4/14/2020

NMC Health PLC

U.A.E. Health care D CCC- Missed interest payments
4/15/2020

Intelsat S.A.

Luxembourg Telecommunications SD CCC+ Missed interest payments
4/16/2020

O1 Properties Ltd.

Cyprus Homebuilders/real estate companies D CC Missed interest payments
4/16/2020

J.C. Penney Co. Inc.

U.S. Retail/restaurants D CCC Missed interest payments
4/17/2020

Mister Car Wash Holdings Inc.

U.S. Retail/restaurants SD CCC+ Distressed exchange
4/17/2020

Ultra Petroleum Corp.

U.S. Oil and gas D CCC- Missed interest payments
4/21/2020

Engine Holding LLC

U.S. Media and entertainment D CCC- Missed principal and interest payments
4/22/2020

The Neiman Marcus Group LLC

U.S. Retail/restaurants D CCC- Missed interest payments
4/23/2020

Northwest Acquisitions ULC

Canada Metals, mining, and steel D CCC+ Foreign Bankruptcy
4/24/2020

Diamond Offshore Drilling Inc.

U.S. Oil and gas D CC Chapter 11
4/24/2020

Enjoy S.A.

Chile Media and entertainment D B- Bankruptcy
4/28/2020

Envision Healthcare Corp. (Envision Healthcare Holdings Inc.)

U.S. Health care SD CC Distressed exchange
4/29/2020

CSM Bakery Solutions LLC

U.S. Consumer products SD CCC Distressed exchange
4/30/2020

Virgin Australia Holdings Ltd.

Australia Transportation D CC Chapter 15
5/4/2020

J. Crew Group Inc.

U.S. Consumer products D CCC- Chapter 11
5/5/2020

Evergreen Skills Lux S.ar.l.

Luxembourg High technology D CCC- Missed interest payments
5/6/2020 Confidential Confidential Media and entertainment D CCC Confidential
5/6/2020

Techniplas LLC

U.S. Capital goods D NR Chapter 11
5/7/2020

Hertz Global Holdings Inc.

U.S. Transportation SD CCC- Missed principal and interest payments
5/8/2020

Petra Diamonds Ltd.

Bermuda Metals, mining, and steel D CCC+ Missed interest payments
5/11/2020

Avianca Holdings S.A.

Panama Transportation D CCC- Chapter 11
5/11/2020

Yihua Enterprise (Group) Co. Ltd.

China Consumer products SD CCC Missed interest payments
5/12/2020

Fieldwood Energy LLC

U.S. Oil and gas D CCC Missed interest payments
5/12/2020

Revlon Inc.

U.S. Consumer products SD CC Distressed exchange
5/13/2020

Outerstuff LLC

U.S. Consumer products SD CCC Missed principal and interest payments
5/14/2020 Confidential Confidential Media and entertainment SD CCC- Confidential
5/15/2020

Extraction Oil & Gas Inc. (Extraction Oil & Gas Holdings LLC)

U.S. Oil and gas D CC Missed interest payments
5/15/2020

Forum Energy Technologies Inc.

U.S. Oil and gas SD CC Distressed exchange
5/19/2020

Aeropuertos Argentina 2000 S.A.

Argentina Utilities SD CC Distressed exchange
5/19/2020

Takko Fashion S.a.r.l.

Luxembourg Consumer products SD CCC+ Missed interest payments
5/19/2020 Confidential Confidential Capital goods D NR Confidential
5/20/2020

Downstream Development Authority

U.S. Media and entertainment SD CCC Missed principal payments
5/20/2020

Equinox Holdings Inc.

U.S. Media and entertainment SD CCC Distressed exchange
5/21/2020

Akorn Inc.

U.S. Health care D CC Chapter 11
5/21/2020

Centennial Resource Development Inc.

U.S. Oil and gas SD CC Distressed exchange
5/21/2020

Guitar Center Inc. (Guitar Center Holdings Inc.)

U.S. Retail/restaurants SD CCC Distressed exchange
5/25/2020

Travelex Holdings Ltd.

U.K. Media and entertainment SD CC Missed interest payments
5/26/2020

Unit Corp.

U.S. Oil and gas D CC Chapter 11
5/27/2020

Latam Airlines Group S.A.

Chile Transportation D CCC- Chapter 11
5/27/2020

Tuesday Morning Corp.

U.S. Retail/restaurants D NR Chapter 11
6/2/2020

Grupo Famsa S.A.B. de C.V.

Mexico Retail/restaurants SD CCC- Missed principal and interest payments
6/2/2020

Noble Corp. PLC

U.K. Oil and gas SD CCC- Distressed exchange
6/3/2020

Valaris plc

U.K. Oil and gas D CCC- Missed interest payments
6/4/2020

California Pizza Kitchen Inc.

U.S. Retail/restaurants D CCC- Missed interest payments
6/5/2020

24 Hour Fitness Worldwide Inc.

U.S. Media and entertainment D CCC+ Missed interest payments
6/5/2020

APC Automotive Technologies Intermediate Holdings LLC

U.S. Automotive D CCC Chapter 11
6/5/2020 Confidential Confidential Consumer products SD CCC- Confidential
6/5/2020 Confidential Confidential Consumer products SD CC Confidential
6/10/2020

RGIS Holdings LLC

U.S. Consumer products D CCC- Missed interest payments
6/10/2020 Confidential Confidential Media and entertainment D CCC- Confidential
6/11/2020

LHMC Finco 2 S.a.r.l.

Spain Media and entertainment D CCC Distressed exchange
6/15/2020

Calfrac Well Services Ltd. (B)

Canada Oil and gas D CCC- Missed interest payments
6/15/2020

Pyxus International Inc.

U.S. Consumer products D CCC- Chapter 11
6/15/2020

SM Energy Co.

U.S. Oil and gas SD CC Distressed exchange
6/16/2020

Briggs & Stratton Corp.

U.S. Capital Goods SD CCC- Missed interest payments
6/16/2020

CSI Compressco L.P.

U.S. Midstream SD CC Distressed exchange
6/16/2020

Ferrellgas Partners L.P.

U.S. Midstream SD CC Missed principal payments
6/16/2020

Source Energy Services Ltd.

Canada Oil and gas D CCC- Missed interest payments
6/18/2020

Confidential

Confidential Retail/restaurants SD CCC Confidential
6/18/2020

ASP MCS Acquisition Corp.

U.S. Consumer products D CCC Missed interest payments
6/18/2020

Jo-ann Stores LLC (Jo-Ann Stores Holdings Inc.)

U.S. Retail/restaurants SD CCC Distressed exchange
6/18/2020

Confidential

Confidential Homebuilders/real estate companies D CC Confidential
6/19/2020

Chesapeake Energy Corp.

U.S. Oil and gas D CC Missed interest payments
6/19/2020

GK Holdings Inc.

U.S. Media and entertainment D CC Missed interest payments
6/23/2020

Boart Longyear Ltd.

Australia Metals, mining, and steel SD CC Distressed exchange
6/23/2020

Serta Simmons Bedding LLC

U.S. Consumer products SD CC Distressed exchange
6/23/2020

Summit Midstream Partners L.P.

U.S. Midstream SD CCC Distressed exchange
6/24/2020

GNC Holdings Inc.

U.S. Retail/restaurants D CC Chapter 11
NR--Not rated. SD--Selective default. Data as of June 24, 2020. Sources: S&P Global Ratings Research and S&P Global Market Intelligence’s CreditPro®.

Related Research

Default Studies

More analysis and statistics are available in our annual default studies, published on RatingsDirect:

Corporate (financial and nonfinancial)
Structured finance
U.S. public finance
Sovereign and international public finance

This report does not constitute a rating action.

Credit Markets Research:Nicole Serino, New York + 1 (212) 438 1396;
nicole.serino@spglobal.com
Sudeep K Kesh, New York (1) 212-438-7982;
sudeep.kesh@spglobal.com
Research Contributor:Shripati Pranshu, Mumbai;
shripati.pranshu@spglobal.com

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