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Daily Update — March 19, 2025

US Grid Expansion; Gas-Powered AI; and Private Credit Risks and Rewards

Today is Wednesday, March 19, 2025, and here’s your curated selection of essential intelligence on global markets from S&P Global. Subscribe to be notified of each new Daily Update.

Energy Transition & Sustainability

Listen: Why grids are the missing piece in energy-blessed America

 

New AI capabilities could improve US grid planning and capacity optimization, Arshad Mansoor, president and CEO of the Electric Power Research Institute, said on the sidelines of S&P Global’s CERAWeek energy conference. Increased flexibility could stave off potential rising power bills for general consumers in light of the country's rapid load growth, Mansoor told “Energy Evolution” host Taylor Kuykendall.

 

While the US has an abundance of gas and considerable renewables potential, much remains to be done on the accompanying grid expansion, Hunter Armistead, CEO of Pattern Energy, said on this episode.

 

Learn more about the energy industry’s pressing challenges and emerging opportunities at S&P Global Commodity Insights’ upcoming Global Power Markets Conference 2025

Artificial Intelligence

US producers, top regulator see gas winning resource competition to power AI

 

Stakeholders in the US natural gas market are optimistic the increasing electricity demand driven by datacenters will significantly stimulate gas demand. While advancements in computing efficiency and the adoption of nonfossil energy sources could limit the share of gas in meeting power needs, gas producers and regulators maintain that natural gas will remain a key resource due to its abundance and reliability. US Federal Energy Regulatory Commission Chairman Mark Christie emphasized that gas-fired generation is essential to satisfy the rising power demands of planned datacenters because of the challenges associated with building nuclear plants and the reluctance to invest in new coal facilities.

 

Some tech companies are pursuing gas-fired power for their datacenter projects. For instance, Meta, the parent company of Facebook, is collaborating with utility Entergy to build a large AI datacenter in Louisiana that will feature three combined-cycle combustion turbines with a total capacity of nearly 2.3 GW. Google, meanwhile, is making strides toward sustainability through a partnership with Kairos Power to deploy 500 MW of advanced nuclear projects starting in 2030. Currently, 64% of Google’s datacenters operate on carbon-free energy.

Private Markets

Potential Opportunities and Risks of Private Credit

 

The private credit market has grown substantially due to regulatory changes, the search for yield and a growing recognition of its distinct features. S&P Dow Jones Indices explores the performance, consistency and correlation of private credit with public markets, focusing on broadly syndicated loans, which share private credit’s characteristics of illiquidity and complexity. The interest in private markets is largely attributed to the illiquidity premium associated with lock-up periods, with public and private credit performing similarly in 2023.

 

However, over a 10-year horizon, private credit indexes have demonstrated superior performance. While all indexes faced declines in March 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic, private credit had a stronger recovery, highlighting the differences between private and public markets. In the first five years analyzed, private credit generally yielded higher returns than public credit, although investment-grade bonds occasionally outperformed. A study by PineBridge Investments indicated that private credit outperformed the broadly syndicated loan market by an average of 157 basis points, primarily due to its illiquidity premium.

 

Learn more about Private Credit Solutions from S&P Global Market Intelligence.

In case you missed it

  • The US launched attacks targeting Houthi rebels to protect shipping and restore navigational freedom, according to President Donald Trump.
  • Iran promised to maintain its oil exports and market share March 15, two days after the US placed sanctions on Iran's oil minister, Mohsen Paknejad.
  • As the US tries to broker a Russia-Ukraine peace deal, traders said an end to the conflict could strengthen Urals and Platts Dubai values relative to Dated Brent, putting significant pressure on the global sweet-sour benchmark spread if sanctions on Russian crude are lifted.
  • Market talk about China potentially reducing its annual crude steel production in 2025 by 50 million metric tons continued to push up iron ore and steel prices in the country.

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