Biofuels Value Chain Service

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The only integrated forecasting solution for end-to-end visibility of the biofuels value chain, providing market participants with a detailed understanding of long-term market trends to guide strategic planning, long-term capacity investment, sourcing decisions and marketing strategy.

With increasing demands for cleaner energy production and rapidly developing climate change policies, the biofuels industry is developing at pace. For market participants, a detailed understanding of long-term market trends is key to guiding strategic planning, including long-term capacity investment, sourcing decisions and marketing strategy.

Introducing the Biofuels Value Chain Service, providing end-to-end visibility of the biofuels value chain, from feedstocks as they apply to biofuels, to refined products and critically important supporting credit/ticket markets. This new S&P Global service is fundamentals-based, delivering medium to long-term coverage of biofuels markets and credit/ticket markets, including supply/demand and price forecasts to 2050, with full analysis of market drivers and dynamics.

The service enables clients to:

Develop strategies around capacity investment decisions, based on outlook for supply-demand balances, and regulatory compliance concerns
Understand evolving regulatory and legislative environments and their impact on the key components of the value chain from feedstocks to credit/ticket markets
Assess new trends such as leveraging/converting existing oil refining assets to biofuels production and emergence of niche feedstocks and end-use sectors
Develop feedstocks sourcing strategy—understand how/where to source the most cost-effective feedstock mix sufficient for expected biofuels production
Evaluate where to target end markets for biofuels production (by both market segment and geography)
Build insight into planning for future demand/supply of biofuels and associated infrastructure
Anticipate changes in magnitude of demand from biofuels sector that may impact the agricultural sector—agricultural prices, land use, transport rates etc.
Develop understanding of drivers in biofuel markets, such as emergence of renewable diesel and its indirect impact on other biofuel products

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Biofuels Value Chain Service:

Deliverables

A subscription to the service includes access to the following:

Biofuels Supply/Demand and Feedstocks Demand Outlooks: Annual data publications with historical (to 2010) and forecast (to 2050) supply/ demand outlook and price outlook deliverables.
Biofuels/Feedstocks/Credit/Ticket Price Outlook: Quarterly data publication and accompanying analytical slides with historical (to 2010) and forecast (to 2050) price outlook deliverables. Also includes short-term forecast for US RINS and California LCFS prices.
Short-Term Outlook: New monthly deliverable with analysis and short-term (~2 year) price and supply disposition forecast initially covering US corn ethanol, along with biofuel RIN values.
Mandate Tracker: Data publication with country-level detail on blend mandates by biofuel product and jurisdiction – with comparison against historical and forecast consumption.
Capacities Database and Analysis Tools: Interactive tool for analysis and interrogation of biofuels capacities data, enabling assessment of capacity by geography, feedstocks, facility level detail.
Regional Legislative Overviews: Description and analysis of key regulations driving biofuel market development in Europe, North America, Latin America, Asia
Strategic Insights: Short-form analytical pieces that dig into key topics.
Regional Profiles: Forward-looking written analysis of integrated biofuels, feedstocks, and credit/ticket markets in Europe, North America, Latin America, Asia.
Feedstock Profiles: Quarterly publications by feedstock, with detailed discussion of the current and future biofuels-importance of each, and associated considerations.

Service Solution

Fundamental insights to address market problems critical to biofuels and adjacent sectors:

BVCS helps clients understand evolving regulatory environments and analyses their impact on the key components across the value chain.
Develop strategies on how much biofuels production capacity to develop, based on the combination of biofuels demand forecasts, credit/ticket market opportunities, and regulatory compliance concerns.
Unique forward-looking coverage of biofuels credit/ticket markets, including long-term price forecasts and visibility on how they will influence biofuels markets in future.
Develop feedstocks sourcing strategies by understanding the most cost-effective feedstock mix sufficient for expected biofuels production.
Assess new trends such as leveraging/converting existing oil refining assets to biofuels production and build insight into planning for future demand/supply of biofuels and associated infrastructure.
Anticipate changes in magnitude of demand from biofuels sector that may impact the agricultural sector (agricultural prices, land use, transport rates).
Assess new trends such as the emergence of renewable diesel and its indirect impact on other biofuel products, or the emergence of niche feedstocks and end-use sectors.
BVCS end-to-end value chain coverage and integrated medium to long-term view fortified by adjacent S&P Global services and expertise provides valuable insight to investors and financial professionals.

Event

OPIS RFS, RINs & Biofuels Forum

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