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Today’s municipal market is increasingly complex and challenging. We understand that to make decisions with confidence, you want new insights about credit risk. Whether you are an issuer, intermediary or investor, you need information about this risk that’s based on in-depth market knowledge, forward-looking analyses and transparent criteria. And that’s where our insight is essential.
Uncertainty looms: Municipal water utilities face greater credit risks from reduced allocations and potential higher curtailments after the failure by the seven basin states to reach a consensus on the Colorado River operating framework that expires later this year.
Growing affordability concerns: For the more than 300 rated municipal water utility issuers within the Colorado River Basin, affordability pressures could increase from growing costs and sustained capital investment to maintain a reliable supply as operational physical risks intensify over time.
Credit differentiation emerging: Local governments and water utilities lacking above-average storage or banking capacity, strong proactive management, and rate flexibility are more exposed to higher costs despite having legal water rights priority.
Governance alignment: Many water utilities may move into alignment with their sponsoring local governments’ policies on growth and development, infrastructure investments, and contingency planning.
Driven primarily by positive market returns, U.S. public pension funded ratios have reached an average of over 80% as of fiscal 2025--improving every year since fiscal 2022 and increasing nearly 10 percentage points over this period. S&P Global Ratings expects this momentum will continue in fiscal 2026 given market performance over the first half.
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