Global Insight – Country and Industry Forecasting Analysis Archives

09 November 2018

New leadership among India's Naxalite militants likely to encourage use of IEDs, increased attacks ahead of elections

09 November 2018

Homicides and theft rising in Mexico's San Luis Potosí; narco-message emergence raises collateral death and injury risks

05 November 2018

Hardline security policy of Brazil's incoming president to provoke increased shootouts between security forces and crime groups

05 November 2018

Sidama statehood referendum will drive localised protests and small-arms violence, encourage other Ethiopian self-determination movements

01 November 2018

Violent protests in Guinean capital point to increasing death and injury, cargo disruption risks in six-month outlook

31 October 2018

Attack on Egyptian police highlights continued targeting of security forces, despite success of counter-terrorism operations

25 October 2018

Mining strike in southern Peru to force contract breaches with exports being halted, effects on sector

23 October 2018

Recurring temporary disruptions and minor damage from arson and vandalism during Ghanaian student protests likely in Kumasi

17 October 2018

Violent protests in Comoros indicate growing government instability risk and likelihood of cargo disruption on Anjouan island

12 October 2018

Australian security force deployments to Port Moresby, PNG, reduce security risks for delegates attending mid-November APEC summit

05 October 2018

Resurgence of inter-communal attacks in Mali's Menaka region likely jihadist tactic to widen conflict

05 October 2018

Severe risk of violent protests and factional fighting across southern Yemen following STC call for independence

02 October 2018

Pakistani intent to respond to Indian helicopter shooting increases risk to low-flying aircraft in Kashmir amid broader escalation

01 October 2018

Further strike action likely over Nigerian minimum wage but private-sector impact mostly limited to oil industry

28 September 2018

Peaceful anti-government protests to continue in Slovak capital, moderate scale unlikely to force snap election

28 September 2018

Iran-backed tribal insurgency against US in northeastern Syria increases likelihood of IED damage to ground cargo

24 September 2018

Abduction of 12 seafarers underlines high risk of kidnap in Nigerian waters despite falling success rate

18 September 2018

GNA plan to secure Mitiga airport risks triggering new round of militia fighting in Libya’s capital

17 September 2018

South Sudanese peace agreement likely to boost oil production and reduce likelihood of conflict with Sudan

14 September 2018

National labour union strikes likely to be extended in Costa Rica; major operational disruption and property damage probable

12 September 2018

Yemen peace talks failure likely to result in renewed coalition push to capture Hodeidah

11 September 2018

Opposition campaign suppression increases likelihood of protest and riots, and sanctions on personnel following Maldives' presidential election

10 September 2018

Growing sophistication of gangs' modus operandi in Uruguay likely to include increase in cash-in-transit and ATM theft

04 September 2018

New Costa Rican government's anti-trafficking security operations likely to reduce operational constraints including cargo robberies and homicides

03 September 2018

DPR leader's IED killing elevates likelihood of controlled Russian escalation in Donetsk and Luhansk regions of Ukraine

31 August 2018

Labour strikes and protests affecting non-strategic sectors likely to become more co-ordinated in Ecuador in coming months

27 August 2018

Provisional disqualification of high-profile opposition candidate increases likelihood of contested DRC election, urban riots, and militant violence

24 August 2018

Homicides increase substantially in Mexico's Tijuana, Baja California, but non-turf-war-related crime diminishes

21 August 2018

US-Turkey diplomatic crisis entails elevated shooting and vandalism risks to US diplomatic offices and identifiable retail assets

21 August 2018

Chechnya attacks indicate shift to younger jihadist recruitment in Russia’s North Caucasus, increasing likelihood of low-capability attacks

17 August 2018

Territorial exchange of disputed border areas likely to reduce communal violence and cargo risks along Kyrgyz-Uzbek border

25 July 2018

Passage of Mindanao autonomous region law improves outlook for demobilising Islamist militants in southern Philippines

24 July 2018

EU and US safeguarding measures likely to prompt disruptive protests and strikes in South Korea's manufacturing sectors

23 July 2018

Politicisation of Iraq’s southern protests likely to increase business disruption and factional violence.

23 July 2018

Arrest of suspected jihadists unlikely to reduce terrorism risk to mining operations in northern Burkina Faso

16 July 2018

Protests against electricity tariff in Panama to escalate unless amendment to increase government spending is passed

12 July 2018

Expansion of Ivorian government underlines president's intention to divide junior coalition partner, but raises civil unrest risks

09 July 2018

06 July 2018

Risk of kidnap and murder by FARC dissidents rising along Ecuador-Colombia border, particularly in Esmeraldas and Nariño

22 June 2018

Armed robbery risks rising in northern Bolivia following Brazilian criminal raid on military weapons stores

20 June 2018

Radical group Arran's call for action likely to trigger attacks on tourism assets in Catalonia

20 June 2018

Collateral injury risks in Brazil's Rio de Janeiro increase as gang violence spreads into tourist areas

13 June 2018

Russian-trained CAR troops’ failure to repulse militias underlines attack and looting risks to NGOs in six-month outlook

08 June 2018

Nicaragua's government unlikely to adopt opposition-proposed reforms; raises risks of roadblocks, protester deaths, and weakens government outlook

04 June 2018

Ethiopia will probably lift state of emergency, forced change of government unlikely despite growing securocrat-PM split

04 June 2018

Indian and Pakistani military statements indicate intent to observe Kashmir ceasefire, at least until after national elections

30 May 2018

Malian president's re-election bid raises terrorist attack risks to government, foreign assets in capital in coming weeks

22 May 2018

Iraqi cabinet excluding either Sadrists or Hashd would raise risks of intra-Shia violence across southern provinces and Baghdad

10 May 2018

Jihadist exploitation of Malian inter-communal violence triggered by counter-terrorism increases risks to French military and commercial interests

08 May 2018

Visitors to 2018 UEFA Champions League Final in Ukraine likely to face elevated injury and robbery risks

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